AVAX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 21 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +5.07 %

Entry

8.7190

Target

8.2770 +5.07 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0600 −3.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,979 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,979 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.78 % 21 % at stop avg −3.72 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.8 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.6 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 3,077 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 20h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 20h
13:30TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 20h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.36
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum is turning bearish on the 4H, but the trend is mixed across timeframes.
Watch the 8.27700 support: a break below it could open further downside.
Resistance at 9.06000 is the immediate upside hurdle to monitor.
The signal is weak; confirmation from price action is needed before acting.

The 4H SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is driven by a confluence of momentum and candlestick indicators, suggesting a short-term bearish pullback within a broader mixed trend. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates weakening buying pressure, while the STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirms fading upside momentum. The Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick reinforces the bearish sentiment, showing strong selling interest at the close. However, the HT SINE Cross Up and COPPOCK Zero Cross Up introduce a conflicting note, hinting at potential longer-term bullish momentum that could limit downside.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m, 12h, and 1d are bearish, while the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 8h are bullish. This mixed alignment reduces the reliability of the signal, reflected in its weak strength and 60% probability. The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is a key barrier that could cap any upside, while the nearest support at 8.27700 is the immediate downside target. A break below this support would strengthen the bearish case, whereas a hold could lead to a reversal. Traders should watch these levels closely.

Catalysts