EUR/AUD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 7 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.06 %

Entry

1.60348

Target

1.59278 +0.67 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.61739 −0.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Stoch Regular Bear Div, ALMA Break Down, Rising Wedge +13 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % – first candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (68.98)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

00:30TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 9h
07:00TomorrowEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 15h
07:00TomorrowEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 15h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Stoch Regular Bear Div	divergence	3.46
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	3.37
▼	Rising Wedgebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.72
▼	MACD Hist Regular Bear Div	divergence	2.69
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.30
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.28
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.38

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 1H chart with multiple confluent indicators.
Immediate downside target is support at 1.59278; resistance at 1.61739 is the invalidation level.
Higher timeframes remain bullish, so this is likely a corrective pullback, not a reversal.
Watch for a possible bounce at support due to conflicting trend alignment.

The EUR/AUD 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Rising Wedge breakdown, a Stochastic cross down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, KAMA, MA) alongside an EMA break and a higher-timeframe trendline retreat. The confluence of chart pattern, indicator, and divergence groups points to a strong short-term bearish impulse, with the 1H trend scoring a very strong 100% probability signal. However, the broader picture is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes support the downside, the 2H through 1D trends remain bullish, suggesting this is a corrective move within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal.

Immediate resistance sits at 1.61739, and a break back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 1.59278 is the primary downside target, and a sustained break below could open the door for further declines, but traders should watch for a potential bounce near this level given the higher-timeframe bullish bias. The signal is strong in the short term, but the conflicting higher-timeframe trends argue for caution and tight risk management.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of bearish signals across chart pattern, indicator, and divergence groups.
▼ Rising Wedge breakdown is a classic reversal pattern, adding weight to the bearish case.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) align with the bearish direction.
▼ Very strong signal strength (100% probability) suggests robust momentum behind the move.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
▲ A break back above resistance at 1.61739 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional momentum.
▲ Nearby support at 1.59278 could trigger a bounce, especially with bullish higher-timeframe trends.