EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
24 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.60564
Target
1.59998 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.61739 −0.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Rising Wedge, Trendline Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (2.88) ▼ Bearish 90 % (26.21)
model score 90.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 10h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 17h
  • TomorrowEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 17h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Rising Wedgebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.95
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.63
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.61
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.57
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.31
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.92
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M chart, led by a Rising Wedge breakdown and Trendline Break Down.
  • Momentum and trend indicators (BOP, STOCHF, DEMA, EMA, KAMA) all confirm the bearish move.
  • The bearish trend is confined to lower timeframes; higher timeframes remain bullish, suggesting a possible pullback.
  • Key levels to watch: support at 1.60399 and resistance at 1.61739.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Rising Wedge breakdown. This is reinforced by momentum and trend-following indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA)—all pointing to sustained selling pressure. The confluence across trendline, chart pattern, and indicator groups elevates the signal's strength to very strong, with a 90% probability.

However, the bearish case is primarily a lower-timeframe phenomenon. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bearish, the higher timeframes (2h through 1d) remain bullish, albeit with weak trend scores. This suggests the current sell-off may be a corrective pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. The immediate downside target is the nearest support at 1.60399, while a bounce could face resistance at 1.61739. Traders should watch how price behaves at these levels to gauge whether the bearish momentum can extend or if higher-timeframe buyers will reassert control.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple signal groups: trendline, chart pattern, and indicators all align bearish.
  • ▼ Strong trend scores on 15m and 30m timeframes support the short-term downside.
  • ▼ The Rising Wedge pattern often implies a bearish reversal, and its breakdown adds weight.
  • ▼ Very high signal probability (90%) and strength (very strong) indicate robust technical alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ The 1h trend is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear momentum on that timeframe.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.60399, the bearish signal may weaken.
  • ▲ A break back above the broken trendline or wedge could invalidate the setup.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 13:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61739 2026-11-04
S1 1.60399 2026-11-04
S2 1.59998 2026-11-03
S3 1.59730 2026-11-03

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