EUR/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.35 %

Entry

177.883

Target

175.098 +1.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

181.545 −2.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 10

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 326 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 326 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.64 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 17 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, STOCH KD Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +19.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 9 % (0.99) ▼ Bearish 91 % (10.54)

model score 91.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 738 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 13h
10:00TomorrowEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 16h
07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.05
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	2.04
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 8H chart suggest a potential pullback, but higher timeframes remain mostly bullish, creating a conflict.
The Tweezers Top and KDJ OB Exit point to overbought conditions, yet the Ichimoku TK Cross Up warns of lingering bullish momentum.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.098; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
Weak signal strength (61%) and mixed trend alignment mean this setup should be treated with caution.

The EUR/JPY 8H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down, alongside a KDJ OB Exit and a Tweezers Top candlestick pattern. These indicate waning buying pressure and a potential shift toward selling momentum at the upper end of the range. The retreats from the upper bands of ACCBANDS and KELTNER further suggest that price is pulling back from overbought conditions, while the ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up adds a conflicting note, hinting at underlying bullish momentum on this timeframe.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m are bearish, the higher timeframes (1H through 12H) are predominantly bullish, with the 8H itself showing a bullish trend forming. This divergence reduces the reliability of the bearish signal, which is reflected in the weak strength and 61% probability. The nearest resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.098 define the immediate range. A break below support would confirm the bearish case, while a hold above resistance could invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, Tweezers Top) align on the 8H timeframe, increasing the likelihood of a downward move.
▼ Upper band retreats from ACCBANDS and KELTNER suggest price is pulling back from overbought levels, supporting a bearish reversal.
▼ Shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bearish, providing early confirmation of selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H–12H) are bullish, which could override the bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
▲ The Ichimoku TK Cross Up on the 8H indicates bullish momentum, conflicting with the bearish signals.
▲ If price holds above the resistance at 177.968, the bearish setup would be invalidated, and a breakout could resume the uptrend.
▲ Weak signal strength (61%) and choppy conditions on several timeframes reduce the reliability of the signal.