EUR/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 03:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.23 %

Entry

1.12444

Target

1.11750 +0.62 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.13473 −0.92 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.23
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.27
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.02

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Seven bearish signals align on the 1H, pointing to a short-term sell opportunity.
The immediate trend is still bullish, so this is a counter-trend setup with limited strength.
Watch 1.12560 resistance and 1.11750 support for direction.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell bias.

The EUR/USD 1H signal stack is uniformly bearish, with seven distinct indicators converging on a sell setup. The BOP Zero Cross Down and CMO OB Exit both point to fading buying pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit confirm that momentum is rolling over from overbought conditions. The ER Level Cross Down and HMA Retreat Down reinforce the idea that the short-term trend is losing upside traction. The Tweezers Top candlestick pattern adds a visual confirmation of rejection at the highs, suggesting sellers are stepping in near the 1.12560 resistance.

However, the broader trend structure is mixed. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bullish, with the 1h showing only a weak, choppy bullish bias (1/5). The 2h and 4h are also bullish but choppy, while the 12h and 1d are bearish. This creates a conflict: the immediate trend is up, but the higher timeframes are turning down. The sell signal is therefore best viewed as a counter-trend pullback opportunity within a larger downtrend, with key levels at 1.12560 resistance and 1.11750 support. A break below 1.11750 would strengthen the bearish case, while a sustained move above 1.12560 would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of seven different indicators all signaling bearish momentum.
▼ Overbought exits (CMO, WILLR) suggest the recent rally is stretched.
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick pattern at resistance adds a classic reversal signal.
▼ Higher timeframe trend (12H, 1D) is bearish, aligning with the sell direction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1h trends are still bullish, which could override the 1H sell signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (60% probability), so the move may lack follow-through.
▲ A break above 1.12560 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy, meaning false signals are more likely in this environment.