USD/CAD – 30M – SELL
SELL With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/CAD
Full calendar- November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
- November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
- November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | EMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.24 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.21 |
| ▼ | KAMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.18 |
| ▼ | MA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.17 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.15 |
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.12 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.11 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.10 |
| ▼ | ALMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.05 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.46 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.37 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 1.11 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.94 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligned.
- All timeframes from 15m to daily are bearish, but the 2h is choppy/sideways.
- Immediate resistance at 1.40145; support at 1.39502 is the key level to watch.
- Probability is high (96%) and strength is very strong, favoring the short side.
Key levels to monitor are immediate resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39502. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the high probability and strong trend scores, the path of least resistance appears to be lower, but traders should remain cautious of the 2-hour chop and any potential for a bounce off support.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, candlestick) all pointing down.
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 30m and daily.
- ▼ Price is retreating from key moving averages and trendlines, indicating selling pressure.
- ▼ High probability and very strong signal strength suggest robust market conviction.
- ▲ The 2-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or reversals.
- ▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 1.40145 would invalidate the bearish setup.
- ▲ Support at 1.39502 may act as a floor, causing a bounce and potential short squeeze.
- ▲ Momentum indicators like WILLR are in oversold territory, which could signal a short-term pullback.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.40145 | 2026-11-04 |
| S1 | 1.39502 | 2026-11-03 |
| S2 | 1.39418 | 2026-10-30 |