USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.09 %
Entry
1.39521
Target
1.39288 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40145 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 75%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.24
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.69
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.37
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.11
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators aligned.
  • All timeframes from 15m to daily are bearish, but the 2h is choppy/sideways.
  • Immediate resistance at 1.40145; support at 1.39502 is the key level to watch.
  • Probability is high (96%) and strength is very strong, favoring the short side.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, with a SELL direction and very strong probability. The confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick indicators—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA Retreat Downs—points to a synchronized shift in selling pressure. This is reinforced by a solid bearish trend on the 30-minute and daily timeframes, while other timeframes (15m, 1h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are all trending bearish, albeit with varying strength. The overall alignment across timeframes supports the bearish bias, though the 2-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting some underlying uncertainty.

Key levels to monitor are immediate resistance at 1.40145 and support at 1.39502. A break below the support would confirm the bearish momentum and could open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the high probability and strong trend scores, the path of least resistance appears to be lower, but traders should remain cautious of the 2-hour chop and any potential for a bounce off support.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator groups (momentum, trend, candlestick) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with solid trends on 30m and daily.
  • ▼ Price is retreating from key moving averages and trendlines, indicating selling pressure.
  • ▼ High probability and very strong signal strength suggest robust market conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 2-hour timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or reversals.
  • ▲ A move above the nearest resistance at 1.40145 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Support at 1.39502 may act as a floor, causing a bounce and potential short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators like WILLR are in oversold territory, which could signal a short-term pullback.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 75%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40145 2026-11-04
S1 1.39502 2026-11-03
S2 1.39418 2026-10-30

Tags

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