USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 11× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.31 %
Entry
0.81455
Target
0.82171 +0.88 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.80688 −0.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, BOP Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/CHF  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 74%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CMO OS Exit indicator 2.20
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.08
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.63
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ RSI OS Exit indicator 1.56
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.27
▲ RSX OS Entry indicator 1.25
▲ KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 1.12
▲ ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat indicator 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oversold exit signals on the 1H chart suggest a bullish bounce is likely.
  • The bounce is counter-trend against a solidly bearish higher-timeframe structure.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 0.82171 as the key upside target and invalidation zone.
  • Expect the move to be corrective; consider scaling out or tightening stops near resistance.
The 1H chart for USD/CHF has triggered a cluster of oversold exit signals, including CMO, RSI, and WILLR, alongside a BOP zero cross up and a STOCHF KD cross up, indicating that selling pressure is exhausting and momentum is turning bullish. The HMA retreat up and RSX OS entry add further weight, suggesting the start of a corrective bounce within a broader downtrend. The confluence of these indicators at a single point in time, with an 89% probability and very strong strength, points to a high-confidence short-term long opportunity.

However, the longer timeframes remain firmly bearish, with solid trends on the 30m through 4h charts and a very strong bearish trend on the 15m. This creates a divergence: the 1H signal is counter-trend against the higher-timeframe direction. The nearest resistance at 0.82171 is a critical level to watch; a failure to break above it would confirm that the bounce is merely a pullback within the larger downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long with a tight risk profile, not a reversal signal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Cluster of oversold exit signals (CMO, RSI, WILLR) confirms exhaustion of selling pressure.
  • ▲ BOP zero cross up and STOCHF KD cross up indicate a shift in buying momentum.
  • ▲ High signal probability (89%) and very strong strength increase confidence in the bounce.
  • ▲ HMA retreat up and RSX OS entry align with the short-term bullish reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (15m to 4h) are bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived and fade.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.82171 is a major barrier; failure to break it could lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▼ The 1D trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction.
  • ▼ If price falls below the recent low, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 74%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82171 2026-11-03
R2 0.82555 2026-10-30
R3 0.82970 2026-10-29

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