USD/CHF – 2H – SELL

SELL With the trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.11 %
Entry
0.81455
Target
0.81039 +0.51 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83127 −2.05 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,019 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,019 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, EMA Break Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 8%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Break Down indicator 3.00
▼ MIDPRICE Break Down indicator 2.89
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 2.73
▼ DEMA Break Down indicator 2.42
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.33
▼ HMA Break Down indicator 2.33
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.30
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.20
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ RSX Midline Cross Down indicator 2.04
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.99
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down indicator 1.94
▼ SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.68
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicator 1.61
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.60
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.16
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.69

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish alignment across 15m to 4h timeframes supports further downside.
  • The 2H signal is backed by multiple indicator groups (MACD, EMA, DEMA, KAMA) all pointing lower.
  • Resistance at 0.83127 is the key level to watch; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
  • STOCHRSI KD Cross Up hints at a possible short-term bounce, but it is unlikely to reverse the trend.
The USD/CHF 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a MACD Signal Cross Down, EMA and DEMA Break Downs, and a KAMA Retreat Down, all pointing to sustained selling pressure. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up suggests a short-term oversold bounce may be due, but the overwhelming bearish momentum across indicators and timeframes argues for continuation of the downtrend. The 2H trend is solidly bearish (3/5), and the 15m to 4h timeframes all confirm bearish alignment, with the 8h and 12h trends forming lower, suggesting the bearish move is still developing.

Key resistance sits at 0.83127, which aligns with the recent breakdown zone and should act as a barrier to any upside correction. With no clear support level defined, the path of least resistance remains lower, but traders should watch for a potential bounce from the oversold stochastic condition. The overall confluence of trend scores and the high probability (92%) of the signal underline the bearish outlook, though a failure to hold below the resistance level would invalidate the setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, DEMA, KAMA) are in sync, confirming the bearish momentum.
  • ▼ The 15m to 4h timeframes all show solid or very strong bearish trends, reinforcing the 2H signal.
  • ▼ The 8h and 12h trends are forming lower, suggesting the downtrend is still in its early stages.
  • ▼ The signal probability is very high (92%) with very strong strength, indicating high confluence.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up signals oversold conditions, which could trigger a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The 1d timeframe is choppy/sideways (1/5), meaning the larger trend lacks direction and could stall the move.
  • ▲ A break back above the 0.83127 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if price fails to make new lows soon, leading to a consolidation phase.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83127 2026-10-28
R2 0.83950 2026-10-14

Tags

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