USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
13 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %
Entry
0.81538
Target
0.81274 +0.32 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82152 −0.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, SAR Flip Bearish +11 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Scalping
▲ Bullish 10 % (2.50) ▼ Bearish 90 % (22.79)
model score 90.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 31m
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 46m
  • TodayUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 46m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 12:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.82
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ SAR Flip Bearish indicator 1.63
▼ KAMA Break Down indicator 1.48
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ DX Trend Strong indicator 1.29
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.28
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.26
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.16
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.10
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.00
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 0.97
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 0.92
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 0.82

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30M chart with a high-probability sell signal.
  • Trend aligns bearish across multiple timeframes, with the strongest conviction on the 1H, 2H, and 4H.
  • Watch the 0.81274 support; a break below could accelerate downside, while 0.82152 is the key resistance to overcome for any bullish reversal.
  • Be cautious of choppy conditions on the 15M and 1D, which may cause short-term noise.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CCI Zero Cross Down, a DX Trend Strong reading, and a WILLR oversold entry, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 50, SMA 50) and a KAMA break down. This confluence indicates strong downside momentum and a well-established short-term trend. The SAR flip to bearish and the break below the Bollinger Bands middle band further confirm the bearish bias, suggesting that sellers are in control and that pullbacks are likely to be met with fresh selling pressure.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent but not uniform: the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts all show solid bearish trends (3/5 strength), while the 15M and 1D are choppy and sideways (1/5). This suggests the primary trend is bearish on the higher timeframes, but the immediate lower timeframe lacks strong directional conviction, which could lead to short-term volatility. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.82152 and support at 0.81274. A break below support would likely extend the decline, while a move back above resistance would signal a potential reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (CCI, DX, WILLR, EMA/SMA retreats, KAMA break, SAR flip).
  • ▼ Bearish trend confirmed across the 1H, 2H, and 4H timeframes.
  • ▼ Price trading below the Bollinger Bands middle band, indicating sustained selling pressure.
  • ▼ High probability (90%) and very strong signal strength.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15M and 1D timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 0.82152 would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the WILLR oversold condition triggers a short-term bounce.
  • ▲ The lower timeframe (30M) is still 'trend forming' (2/5), so the trend is not yet fully mature and may lack follow-through.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82152 2026-11-04
R2 0.82171 2026-11-03
R3 0.82536 2026-11-02
S1 0.81274 2026-11-04

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