AUD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.02 %
Entry
0.97834
Target
0.98075 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.97121 −0.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026CADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 2 days
  • November 13, 2026CADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 3 days
  • November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 6 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 2%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.82
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.71
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.58
▼ MAMA Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.45
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 1.35
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 1.21

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum is firing on the 30M chart, but it's a weak signal against a bearish multi-timeframe backdrop.
  • The 4H and 8H trends are solidly bearish, so any upside is likely a correction, not a reversal.
  • Watch the 0.98006 resistance—a close above could extend the bounce, but rejection would favor the downtrend.
  • Support at 0.97763 is the line in the sand; losing it negates the bullish setup.
The AUD/CAD 30-minute signal is a BUY, driven by several momentum oscillators crossing to the upside (BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, FISHER Zero Cross Down, AO Zero Cross Down) and moving averages (EMA 50, SMA 50, KAMA) retreating upward. However, the signal's probability is only 58% and strength is weak, reflecting a lack of confluence with the broader trend. Across all timeframes, the pair is bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid downtrends (3/5), while the 15M to 1H are choppy and sideways. This suggests the current bullish momentum is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 0.98006 is a key barrier; a break above could signal a deeper correction, while failure to hold above support at 0.97763 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a short-term reactive signal, not a trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, FISHER, AO) are turning up, suggesting short-term buying pressure.
  • ▲ EMA 50, SMA 50, and KAMA are all retreating upward, indicating a shift in momentum on the 30M timeframe.
  • ▲ The 30M signal aligns with a potential higher low if price holds above support, offering a tactical long opportunity.
  • ▲ The 2H and 12H trends are only 'trend forming' bearish, leaving room for a corrective bounce.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are solidly bearish, which could overwhelm the 30M bounce.
  • ▼ The signal strength is weak and probability is only 58%, so the edge is limited.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.98006 is close; a failure to break it could lead to a quick reversal.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 0.97763 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 04:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.98006 2026-11-04
R2 0.98075 2026-11-02
R3 0.98299 2026-10-30
S1 0.97763 2026-11-05
S2 0.97121 2026-11-04

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