AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 04:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.07 %

Entry

110.756

Target

111.303 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.568 −1.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 8h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 8h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.03
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.99
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.58
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 1H suggest a potential short-term reversal, but the overall trend is bearish across all higher timeframes.
The SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire indicates a volatility expansion, which could amplify the move in either direction.
Resistance at 111.30300 is the immediate upside target; support at 109.56800 is the key invalidation level.
The high probability (89%) and strong strength of the signal are offset by the bearish higher-timeframe alignment, so treat this as a counter-trend opportunity.

The AUD/JPY 1H signal is a bullish confluence of momentum and volatility indicators, despite the broader bearish trend across timeframes. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates buying pressure is gaining control, while the EMA 200, KAMA, and SMA 50 Retreat Up signals suggest these moving averages are turning upward, reflecting a shift in short-term momentum. The SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire implies a volatility contraction, often preceding a directional move, and the Gapping Down Doji candlestick points to a potential reversal from a gap down. Together, these signals suggest a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a larger bearish context.

However, the higher timeframes (15m to 1D) are all bearish, with trend scores as low as 1/5, indicating a strong downtrend and choppy price action. The bullish signals are on the 1H timeframe, which is the lowest trend score among the higher timeframes, suggesting that the reversal may be fragile and could face resistance from the prevailing downtrend. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.30300, which could cap upside, and support at 109.56800, which if broken would invalidate the bullish case. The signal's high probability (89%) and very strong strength are counterbalanced by the bearish higher-timeframe alignment, making this a counter-trend trade that requires careful risk management.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, moving averages) align bullish on the 1H timeframe.
▲ SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire suggests a volatility breakout, often leading to strong directional moves.
▲ Gapping Down Doji indicates a potential reversal from a gap, with buyers stepping in.
▲ Signal probability of 89% and 'very strong' strength increase confidence in the short-term bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (15m to 1D) are all bearish, with weak trend scores, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish signal.
▼ The nearest resistance at 111.30300 may cap upside, and a failure to break above it could lead to a pullback.
▼ If price breaks below support at 109.56800, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The bullish signals are primarily on the 1H, while the broader trend is bearish, so momentum could fade quickly.