AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.06 %
Entry
110.744
Target
109.568 +1.06 %
closes in profit
Stop
111.303 −0.50 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,673 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,673 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, RSI Hidden Bear Div, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) +15 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 9h
  • TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 9h
  • TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 81%
conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.54
▼ RSI Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.51
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.41
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.38
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.31
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.30
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.30
▼ MACD Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.30
▼ Momentum Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.28
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.27
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ AO Hidden Bear Div divergence 2.18
▼ MAMA PRICE Break Down indicator 1.93
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.87
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.65
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ EMA Break Down indicator 1.43
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.42
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.20

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart, with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned to the downside.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m/30m) are forming a downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy and not yet fully trending.
  • Key resistance at 111.303 and support at 109.568 define the immediate trading range.
  • The signal's high probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup, but confirmation from higher timeframes is still pending.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Stoch KD cross down, an EMA break down, and a Bollinger Bands lower band break down. The breadth of the signal set—spanning momentum, trend, and volatility indicators—points to strong selling pressure at the time of the signal. The short-term timeframes (15m and 30m) are already in a forming downtrend, while higher timeframes remain bearish but choppy, suggesting that the move is still in its early stages and may lack strong follow-through until the higher timeframes align more firmly.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.303 and support at 109.568. A sustained break below the lower Bollinger Band and a DEMA retreat down reinforce the bearish case, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes warns of potential range-bound behavior. The confluence of multiple indicators, including a WILLR oversold entry and a MAMA price break down, adds weight to the sell signal, but traders should be cautious of a possible bounce if the price fails to hold below recent lows.
Catalysts
  • ▼ A dense cluster of over 15 bearish signals, including a Stoch KD cross down, EMA break down, and Bollinger Bands lower break down.
  • ▼ Short-term trend forming on 15m and 30m, aligning with the 1H bearish bias.
  • ▼ Confluence of indicator, divergence, and Fibonacci signal groups adds robustness to the bearish thesis.
  • ▼ WILLR oversold entry and MAMA price break down indicate strong downside momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move.
  • ▲ A bounce from the lower Bollinger Band or a reclaim of the 111.303 resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
  • ▲ The StochRSI KD cross up within the bearish cluster suggests a potential short-term oversold bounce, which could stall the decline.
  • ▲ If the price fails to break below the 109.568 support, the sell signal may fade into a range.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 81%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-05 03:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.30300 2026-11-04
R2 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04

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