AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL
SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, RSI Hidden Bear Div, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) +15 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for AUD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 9h
- TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 9h
- TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 9h
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | MIDPOINT Retreat Down | indicator | 2.54 |
| ▼ | RSI Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.51 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 2.41 |
| ▼ | BBANDS LOWER Break Down | indicator | 2.38 |
| ▼ | ALMA Break Down | indicator | 2.31 |
| ▼ | HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | T3 Break Down | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▼ | MACD Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.30 |
| ▼ | Momentum Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.28 |
| ▼ | MIDPRICE Retreat Down | indicator | 2.27 |
| ▼ | DEMA Retreat Down | indicator | 2.25 |
| ▼ | AO Hidden Bear Div | divergence | 2.18 |
| ▼ | MAMA PRICE Break Down | indicator | 1.93 |
| ▼ | HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down | indicator | 1.87 |
| ▲ | STOCHRSI KD Cross Up | indicator | 1.73 |
| ▼ | KDJ Cross Down | indicator | 1.65 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.50 |
| ▼ | EMA Break Down | indicator | 1.43 |
| ▼ | STOCH KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.42 |
| ▲ | WILLR OS Entry | indicator | 1.20 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart, with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned to the downside.
- Short-term timeframes (15m/30m) are forming a downtrend, but higher timeframes are choppy and not yet fully trending.
- Key resistance at 111.303 and support at 109.568 define the immediate trading range.
- The signal's high probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest a high-confidence setup, but confirmation from higher timeframes is still pending.
Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 111.303 and support at 109.568. A sustained break below the lower Bollinger Band and a DEMA retreat down reinforce the bearish case, but the choppy nature of the higher timeframes warns of potential range-bound behavior. The confluence of multiple indicators, including a WILLR oversold entry and a MAMA price break down, adds weight to the sell signal, but traders should be cautious of a possible bounce if the price fails to hold below recent lows.
- ▼ A dense cluster of over 15 bearish signals, including a Stoch KD cross down, EMA break down, and Bollinger Bands lower break down.
- ▼ Short-term trend forming on 15m and 30m, aligning with the 1H bearish bias.
- ▼ Confluence of indicator, divergence, and Fibonacci signal groups adds robustness to the bearish thesis.
- ▼ WILLR oversold entry and MAMA price break down indicate strong downside momentum.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are choppy and sideways, which could limit the follow-through of the bearish move.
- ▲ A bounce from the lower Bollinger Band or a reclaim of the 111.303 resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish setup.
- ▲ The StochRSI KD cross up within the bearish cluster suggests a potential short-term oversold bounce, which could stall the decline.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below the 109.568 support, the sell signal may fade into a range.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 111.30300 | 2026-11-04 |
| R2 | 111.56400 | 2026-10-29 |
| S1 | 109.56800 | 2026-11-04 |