AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 04:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.14 %

Entry

110.756

Target

111.303 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

109.568 −1.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, WILLR OS Exit, SMA 200 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 14.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 1,018 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 8h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 8h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.24
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.00
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.81
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.60
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.97

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, but all higher timeframes remain bearish.
The bullish setup is counter-trend; watch the 111.30300 resistance for confirmation.
Support at 109.56800 is the key level to hold for the bounce to continue.
Momentum indicators are turning up, but trend scores are weak across timeframes.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, a Bullish Engulfing candlestick, and multiple momentum oscillators (STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit) flipping higher. The BOP Zero Cross Up and ER Level Cross Down indicate improving buying pressure and a shift in market structure, while the SMA 200 Retreat Up and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit suggest the pair is rebounding from oversold conditions. Together, these signals point to a short-term bullish reversal attempt within a broader bearish context.

However, the higher timeframes remain uniformly bearish, with trend scores of 1/5 across the 1H to 1D charts, indicating weak or choppy downside momentum. The 15M and 30M trends are also bearish, though they are only 'trend forming' (2/5), suggesting the bullish signals are counter-trend and may lack follow-through. The nearest resistance at 111.30300 is a key hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while failure could see the pair retest support near 109.56800. Traders should treat this as a tactical bounce within a larger downtrend, not a trend reversal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple signal types: trendline, indicator, and candlestick patterns align.
▲ Oscillators like STOCHF and WILLR are exiting oversold conditions, supporting a bounce.
▲ BOP zero cross up and ER level cross down indicate improving buying pressure.
▲ ZSCORE extreme low exit suggests the pair is mean-reverting from stretched levels.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bearish, which could overwhelm the 30M bullish signal.
▼ The 30M trend itself is still bearish, so the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ Resistance at 111.30300 is a nearby barrier; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
▼ If price breaks below 109.56800 support, the bullish setup would be invalidated.