AUD/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.05 %

Entry

110.656

Target

109.489 +1.05 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.82 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 624 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 624 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.32 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 6h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 6h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.91
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.72
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.40
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.38
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.51

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bearish momentum signals fired on the 4H chart, indicating a high-probability sell setup.
All timeframes are bearish, but the trend is still forming or choppy, so confirmation is needed.
Key resistance at 111.56400 is the invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal.
Initial downside target is the nearest support at 109.48900.

The AUD/JPY 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators, including APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO Zero Cross Down, RSI Midline Cross Down, T3 Retreat Down, DPO Zero Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and ALMA Retreat Down, among others. This confluence suggests a broad-based shift toward selling pressure across multiple oscillator families, with the candlestick group also contributing to the bearish case. The signal's very strong strength and high probability reflect the alignment of these diverse indicators.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the trend is still forming on the 15m, 30m, 8h, and 12h charts, while the 1h, 2h, 4h, and 1d timeframes are choppy/sideways. This indicates that while momentum is turning down, the overall trend structure is not yet firmly established. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a key level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 109.48900 is the initial downside target. Traders should monitor whether price can sustain below resistance and build on the bearish momentum.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (APO, BOP, CMO, RSI, T3, DPO, SMI, ALMA) all pointing down.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, even if some are still forming.
▼ Candlestick patterns add to the bearish case, strengthening the signal.
▼ High signal strength and probability (92%) suggest robust alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Trend is still forming or choppy on most timeframes, so momentum could stall.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 111.56400 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ If the 1H or 4H timeframe turns bullish, it could conflict with the lower-timeframe bearish momentum.
▲ Watch for fading momentum in the oscillators if price fails to move lower quickly.