AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-05 20:30 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.10 %

Entry

8.3540

Target

8.1340 +2.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.8610 −6.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,595 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,595 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +17% Scalping

▲ Bullish 8 % (2.58) ▼ Bearish 92 % (29.24)

model score 91.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 15h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 15h
13:30TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 15h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 21:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.37
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.25
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.98
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal on the 30m chart, backed by a cluster of indicators including BOP, STOCH, EMA, SMA, and trendline retreats.
Trend is bearish across all major timeframes, with solid alignment on 15m, 30m, and 12h, supporting the downside move.
Watch the nearest support at 8.13400 as the likely downside target, and resistance at 8.86100 as the level that would invalidate the setup.
The 87% probability and very strong strength score reflect high confluence, but the 4h choppiness warrants caution.

The AVA/XUSDT 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eight indicators aligning to the downside and an 87% probability attached to the move. The BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCH KD Cross Down confirm selling pressure and momentum turning lower, while the EMA, SMA, and MIDPOINT Retreat Downs show price pulling away from key moving averages. The HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down and CTI OB Entry add confluence, suggesting the retreat is not just a short-term wiggle but a broader rejection from overhead trend structures.

Trend alignment across timeframes supports the bearish case. The 15m, 30m, and 12h timeframes all show solid bearish trends, with the 1h, 2h, and 8h showing forming bearish trends. Only the 4h is choppy, but its bias remains bearish. This multi-timeframe agreement gives the signal weight. The immediate target zone is the nearest support at 8.13400, while the nearest resistance at 8.86100 acts as the key invalidation area. A break back above that level would signal the bearish momentum has stalled.

Catalysts

▼ Multi-timeframe bearish alignment, with solid trends on 15m, 30m, and 12h, and forming trends on 1h, 2h, and 8h.
▼ A dense cluster of eight bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats, indicating strong selling pressure.
▼ CTI OB Entry confirms the move is starting from an overbought condition, adding to the bearish case.
▼ Price retreating from both the HT trendline and midpoint levels, showing rejection at key overhead resistance.

Risk Factors

▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could mean the broader trend lacks the momentum to push price to the support level.
▲ If price breaks back above the nearest resistance at 8.86100, the bearish setup would be invalidated and a reversal could follow.
▲ The high probability (87%) may already be priced in, so the move could be shallow if the market is overextended.
▲ Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support, as they could signal a bounce that stops the decline.