EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL
SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down
Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for EUR/AUD
Full calendar- November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 1 day
- November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 1 day
- November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 2 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▼ | ZSCORE Extreme High Exit | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.63 |
| ▲ | HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend | indicator | 1.31 |
| ▲ | Northern Doji | candlestick | 1.21 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term pullback, but the overall trend is bullish across most timeframes.
- The STOCHF KD Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicate overbought conditions that could lead to a retracement.
- Key support at 1.59946 is the level to watch; a break below could confirm the bearish move, while resistance at 1.61739 caps upside.
- Signal strength is weak, so traders should be cautious and look for additional confirmation before acting.
However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across multiple timeframes, with the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily all showing bullish bias, though many are choppy or weak. The 30-minute and 4-hour timeframes show a trend forming, which could support further upside. The bearish signal is therefore counter-trend, and its success hinges on whether the price can break below the nearest support at 1.59946. Resistance at 1.61739 is the immediate barrier to the upside. Traders should watch for confirmation of a downside move, as the weak signal strength suggests limited conviction.
- ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (STOCHF, ZSCORE, Northern Doji) on the 30-minute chart.
- ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price is stretched above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
- ▼ The HT Trendmode shift to trend may indicate a change in the higher-timeframe regime, supporting a move lower.
- ▼ The Northern Doji at a potential top adds a candlestick confirmation of indecision and possible reversal.
- ▲ The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so the bearish signal is counter-trend and may fail.
- ▲ Signal strength is weak (57% probability), indicating limited conviction behind the move.
- ▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.59946, the bearish scenario could be invalidated.
- ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes could lead to false signals or range-bound trading.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 1.61739 | 2026-11-04 |
| S1 | 1.59946 | 2026-11-05 |
| S2 | 1.59940 | 2026-11-04 |
| S3 | 1.59730 | 2026-11-03 |