EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 9× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.41 %
Entry
1.60603
Target
1.59946 +0.41 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.61739 −0.71 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.8 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI y/y●●●in 1 day
  • November 11, 2026EURCPI m/m●●●in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 30m 89%
conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.69
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.31
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.21

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term pullback, but the overall trend is bullish across most timeframes.
  • The STOCHF KD Cross Down and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicate overbought conditions that could lead to a retracement.
  • Key support at 1.59946 is the level to watch; a break below could confirm the bearish move, while resistance at 1.61739 caps upside.
  • Signal strength is weak, so traders should be cautious and look for additional confirmation before acting.
The EUR/AUD 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a STOCHF KD Cross Down, a shift in the HT Trendmode to trend, a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, and a Northern Doji candlestick. These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum may be losing steam, with the stochastic oscillator turning lower from overbought conditions and the ZSCORE indicating an extreme high that often precedes a pullback. The Northern Doji adds a note of indecision, hinting that buyers are losing control.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across multiple timeframes, with the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily all showing bullish bias, though many are choppy or weak. The 30-minute and 4-hour timeframes show a trend forming, which could support further upside. The bearish signal is therefore counter-trend, and its success hinges on whether the price can break below the nearest support at 1.59946. Resistance at 1.61739 is the immediate barrier to the upside. Traders should watch for confirmation of a downside move, as the weak signal strength suggests limited conviction.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (STOCHF, ZSCORE, Northern Doji) on the 30-minute chart.
  • ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price is stretched above its mean, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
  • ▼ The HT Trendmode shift to trend may indicate a change in the higher-timeframe regime, supporting a move lower.
  • ▼ The Northern Doji at a potential top adds a candlestick confirmation of indecision and possible reversal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so the bearish signal is counter-trend and may fail.
  • ▲ Signal strength is weak (57% probability), indicating limited conviction behind the move.
  • ▲ If the price fails to break below the nearest support at 1.59946, the bearish scenario could be invalidated.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes could lead to false signals or range-bound trading.
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 89%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-05 04:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.61739 2026-11-04
S1 1.59946 2026-11-05
S2 1.59940 2026-11-04
S3 1.59730 2026-11-03

Tags

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