EUR/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 16:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.13 %

Entry

177.250

Target

177.990 +0.42 %

closes in profit

Stop

176.378 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ADX Trend Strong, HMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 779 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TomorrowEURCPI y/y●●●in 1 day
07:00TomorrowEURCPI m/m●●●in 1 day
09:00November 12, 2026EURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	2.03
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.55
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.02
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Buy signal on EUR/JPY 30M with strong momentum and trend confluence, but higher timeframes are mixed.
Resistance at 177.990 is the first hurdle; support at 177.150 is the invalidation level.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) are turning bullish, while ADX confirms a strong trend.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm the move; failure to hold support would negate the signal.

The EUR/JPY 30-minute signal fires a BUY with strong conviction (75% probability), driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: ADX confirms a strong trend, BOP crosses above zero, and STOCHF KD crosses up while STOCH KD crosses down, suggesting a bullish shift in short-term momentum. The TRIX zero cross down and SMA 200 retreat up add nuance, indicating the pullback may be losing steam and price is reclaiming a key moving average. The HMA retreat up further supports the immediate bullish bias.

However, the higher-timeframe backdrop is mixed. While the 4H, 8H, and 12H are bullish (though choppy), the 15M, 30M, and 1H are bearish, and the daily is bearish. This implies the buy signal is a counter-trend move against the lower timeframes, but it aligns with the medium-term bullish structure. The nearest resistance at 177.990 is the immediate upside target; a break above could open the path toward higher levels. Support at 177.150 is the key invalidation zone—if price loses that, the bullish setup weakens.

Catalysts

▲ Strong ADX indicates a well-established trend, supporting the move.
▲ BOP zero cross up and STOCHF KD cross up show improving buying pressure.
▲ SMA 200 retreat up and HMA retreat up suggest price is reclaiming key moving averages.
▲ Medium-term timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop.

Risk Factors

▼ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade on those horizons.
▼ Daily timeframe is bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ Resistance at 177.990 is nearby and may stall the advance; a break below 177.150 invalidates the signal.
▼ Mixed trend scores across timeframes indicate choppy conditions, reducing reliability.