GBP/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 05:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.27 %

Entry

212.974

Target

212.121 +0.40 %

closes in profit

Stop

213.545 −0.27 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,236 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,236 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, HMA Break Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 16.2 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 779 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar

23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 6h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 6h
23:50TodayJPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 6h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.66
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.62
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.22
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.41
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.23
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.11
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	0.96

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal on the 30-minute chart, backed by multiple moving-average retreats and a descending trendline break.
Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, but the higher timeframes (2h and above) remain bullish, creating a conflict.
Watch the nearest resistance at 213.545; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
The nearest support at 212.121 is the first downside target; a break below could extend the decline.

The GBP/JPY 30-minute chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, with eight different moving-average-based retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, MIDPOINT) aligning alongside a strong ADX trend reading and a descending trendline break on the higher timeframe. This confluence suggests that the recent upward momentum has stalled and that sellers are stepping in with conviction. The signal's very strong strength and 88% probability underscore the consistency across these independent indicators, all pointing to a continuation of the short-term downtrend.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bearish, the 1-hour trend is only mildly bearish and choppy, and all higher timeframes from 2-hour up to daily remain bullish. This creates a classic conflict between the short-term pullback and the longer-term uptrend. The nearest resistance at 213.545 is the immediate barrier that bulls need to reclaim to invalidate the bearish setup, while support at 212.121 is the first downside target. A break below that support could open the door to further declines, but traders should be wary of a potential bounce if the higher-timeframe bullish bias reasserts itself.

Catalysts

▼ High confluence of eight different moving-average retreat signals, all pointing in the same direction.
▼ Strong ADX trend reading confirms that the bearish move has momentum behind it.
▼ The descending trendline on the higher timeframe adds a structural layer to the bearish case.
▼ The signal's very strong strength rating and high probability (88%) indicate broad agreement among indicators.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are all bullish, which could limit the downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ The 1-hour trend is only mildly bearish and choppy, suggesting the bearish momentum may not be robust.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 213.545 would invalidate the bearish signal and could lead to a sharp rally.
▲ The bullish longer-term trend may reassert itself, especially if the price holds above the 212.121 support and forms a higher low.