USD/CAD – 1D – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW
19 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.68 %
Entry
1.40189
Target
1.43000 +2.01 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.37593 −1.85 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 7,097 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 7,097 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.36 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 13 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: WILLR OS Exit, SMI Signal Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 90 % (25.08) ▼ Bearish 10 % (2.94)
model score 89.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CAD  ·  1D
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.27
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.71
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.70
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.62
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.49
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.25
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 0.73

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum has flipped bullish on the daily chart, with multiple zero-line crossovers and a SAR flip.
  • Lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are aligned bullish, supporting the move, but the daily and 8h trends are still bearish.
  • Watch the 1.43000 resistance as the immediate upside target; a break could extend gains.
  • The 1.37593 support is the key invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
The USD/CAD daily chart is flashing a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line crossovers, a STOCHRSI bullish cross, WILLR exiting oversold territory, and a bullish SAR flip. This broad-based momentum alignment suggests a shift from bearish pressure to buying interest, with the HT PHASOR inphase cross down further supporting a trend change. The confluence of these indicators on the daily timeframe points to a potential upside move, with the nearest resistance at 1.43000 as the immediate target.

Across lower timeframes, the bullish momentum is consistent: 15m, 30m, and 1h all show solid to very strong bullish trends, while 2h and 4h are forming bullish trends. However, the 8h and daily timeframes remain bearish, indicating that this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. The 12h is choppy, adding uncertainty. Key support lies at 1.37593; a break below that would invalidate the bullish thesis. The signal's high probability (89%) and very strong strength are supported by the sheer number of indicators firing, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▲ A cluster of 11 bullish momentum signals on the daily timeframe, including BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR crossovers, indicates strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ Consistent bullish trends across 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes reinforce the short-term upside momentum.
  • ▲ The STOCHRSI bullish cross and WILLR oversold exit suggest momentum is turning up from oversold conditions.
  • ▲ The SAR flip to bullish adds a trend-following confirmation.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The daily and 8h timeframes remain bearish, suggesting this could be a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ The 12h timeframe is choppy, indicating a lack of clear direction on that horizon.
  • ▼ A failure to break above 1.43000 resistance could lead to a pullback; watch for a stall or reversal near that level.
  • ▼ If price breaks below 1.37593 support, the bullish signal is invalidated and the bearish trend may resume.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1D
Direction BUY
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.43000 2026-10-14
S1 1.37593 2026-09-08
S2 1.37317 2026-08-21

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