USD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 22:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.34 %

Entry

158.354

Target

158.768 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −0.88 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,035 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,035 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

21 % at target avg +0.42 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.21 % 35 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.6 % vs 18.9 % on average · stopped out 17.8 % vs 12.6 % (forex, 585 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 7h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 13h
23:30TodayJPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.72
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.59
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.41
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.29
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.24
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.20
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	2.18
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.11
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.71
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.27
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.18
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.09
▲	Bullish Meeting Lines	candlestick	1.09
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.04
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	1.04
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.94

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish 2H signal but weak strength and moderate probability.
Most timeframes are bearish and choppy, so this is likely a counter-trend bounce.
Watch resistance at 158.76800 and support at 156.96200.
Confirmation on higher timeframes is needed before committing.

The USD/JPY 2H signal is a BUY, though the probability is moderate at 55% and strength is weak. The signal is driven by a cluster of indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, DI/DM Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and several moving average retreats up (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA). These suggest a short-term bullish impulse within a broader bearish context. The trend across most timeframes is bearish and choppy/sideways, with the 4H showing a bullish bias, which may offer some support for the move. However, the overall alignment is weak, and the signal should be treated with caution.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.76800 and support at 156.96200. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal. Given the weak trend scores across timeframes, the market appears to be in a consolidation phase, and this signal may represent a counter-trend bounce rather than a sustained reversal. Traders should look for confirmation on higher timeframes and manage risk tightly.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators firing in the same direction (BOP, DI/DM crosses, STOCHRSI, moving average retreats).
▲ 4H timeframe shows a bullish bias, offering some higher-timeframe support.
▲ Price is near support, which could provide a base for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Strong bearish trend across most timeframes (15m to 1d) suggests selling pressure may persist.
▼ Weak trend scores (1/5) indicate choppy, sideways conditions that can lead to false signals.
▼ If price breaks below 156.96200 support, the bullish signal is invalidated.
▼ Momentum may fade quickly given the weak strength of the signal.