USD/JPY – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED
19 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.40 %
Entry
157.710
Target
156.962 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.336 −0.40 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 339 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 339 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.65 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.62 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), EMA 200 Retreat Down, CCI Zero Cross Down +14 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/JPY  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 8h 8%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CTI OB Exit indicator 2.30
▲ STC Level Cross Up indicator 1.69
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.57
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 1.38
▼ CCI Zero Cross Down indicator 1.29
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.26
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.17
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.15
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.09
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.08
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.05
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.02
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 0.87
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 0.87
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.65
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.54

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A broad cluster of momentum oscillators has crossed below zero/midline, confirming strong bearish momentum on the 8H timeframe.
  • All timeframes from 15m to 1D are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes show only a choppy, sideways bias, suggesting a developing downtrend.
  • Key levels: support at 156.96200 and resistance at 158.33600; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
  • The signal includes Fibonacci and candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the sell setup.
The USD/JPY 8H signal has fired a cluster of 17 momentum and oscillator indicators, all crossing below their respective zero or midline levels. This includes BOP, CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, RSI, and STOCHF, which together indicate a strong and broad-based shift in momentum to the downside. The signal is reinforced by bearish Fibonacci and candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the sell setup. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, though the strength diminishes on higher timeframes, with the 8H, 12H, and 1D showing only a choppy, sideways bias. This suggests the current momentum is strongest on the lower timeframes, and the higher timeframe trend is still in its early stages of turning bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 156.96200 and resistance at 158.33600. A break below support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a bounce off support could lead to a retest of resistance. The alignment of multiple indicators and the bearish trend across all timeframes supports the sell signal, but the weak higher timeframe trend scores indicate that the move may lack strong follow-through. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially if the price fails to break below support.
Catalysts
  • ▼ 17 momentum and oscillator indicators all crossing down simultaneously, indicating a powerful and synchronized bearish signal.
  • ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the lower timeframes.
  • ▼ Confluence from Fibonacci and candlestick patterns reinforces the signal.
  • ▼ High probability (88%) and very strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show only a choppy/sideways trend, which could lead to false breakouts or a lack of follow-through.
  • ▲ The nearest support at 156.96200 may act as a strong floor; if price fails to break below, the bearish move could stall or reverse.
  • ▲ Momentum signals can be prone to whipsaws in a choppy market; a close back above the midline or zero level would invalidate the signal.
  • ▲ Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support that could indicate a bounce.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 8%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-05 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.33600 2026-10-28
R2 158.94900 2026-10-14
R3 159.03800 2026-09-24
S1 156.96200 2026-10-30
S2 156.07500 2026-10-23
S3 152.88300 2026-09-08

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