USD/JPY – 8H – SELL
SELL NEW CLOSEDWhat we have measured
Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.
Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreadsWhy this signal
Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), EMA 200 Retreat Down, CCI Zero Cross Down +14 more
Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction
The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.How we work
- Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
- Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
- What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
- More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
- All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
Events for USD/JPY
Full calendar- TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
- November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
- November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
All times UTC.
Conviction, candle by candle
Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.
Signals Fired
These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
| Signals Fired | Category | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ▲ | CTI OB Exit | indicator | 2.30 |
| ▲ | STC Level Cross Up | indicator | 1.69 |
| ▼ | Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest | fibonacci | 1.57 |
| ▼ | EMA 200 Retreat Down | indicator | 1.38 |
| ▼ | CCI Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.29 |
| ▼ | BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down | indicator | 1.26 |
| ▼ | HT SINE Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.23 |
| ▼ | KELTNER MID Cross Down | indicator | 1.17 |
| ▼ | STOCHF KD Cross Down | indicator | 1.15 |
| ▼ | MOM Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | ROC Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | ROCR Cross Down | indicator | 1.09 |
| ▼ | RSI Midline Cross Down | indicator | 1.08 |
| ▼ | BIAS Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.05 |
| ▼ | CMO Zero Cross Down | indicator | 1.02 |
| ▼ | BOP Zero Cross Down | indicator | 0.87 |
| ▼ | TTM TREND Trend Down | indicator | 0.87 |
| ▼ | Bearish Engulfing | candlestick | 0.65 |
| ▼ | Belt Hold Bearish | candlestick | 0.54 |
Trend Context
Analysis
- A broad cluster of momentum oscillators has crossed below zero/midline, confirming strong bearish momentum on the 8H timeframe.
- All timeframes from 15m to 1D are aligned bearish, but higher timeframes show only a choppy, sideways bias, suggesting a developing downtrend.
- Key levels: support at 156.96200 and resistance at 158.33600; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
- The signal includes Fibonacci and candlestick patterns, adding confluence to the sell setup.
Key levels to watch are the nearest support at 156.96200 and resistance at 158.33600. A break below support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a bounce off support could lead to a retest of resistance. The alignment of multiple indicators and the bearish trend across all timeframes supports the sell signal, but the weak higher timeframe trend scores indicate that the move may lack strong follow-through. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for any signs of momentum fading, especially if the price fails to break below support.
- ▼ 17 momentum and oscillator indicators all crossing down simultaneously, indicating a powerful and synchronized bearish signal.
- ▼ Bearish trend alignment across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the lower timeframes.
- ▼ Confluence from Fibonacci and candlestick patterns reinforces the signal.
- ▼ High probability (88%) and very strong strength rating suggest a high-confidence setup.
- ▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show only a choppy/sideways trend, which could lead to false breakouts or a lack of follow-through.
- ▲ The nearest support at 156.96200 may act as a strong floor; if price fails to break below, the bearish move could stall or reverse.
- ▲ Momentum signals can be prone to whipsaws in a choppy market; a close back above the midline or zero level would invalidate the signal.
- ▲ Watch for any reversal candlestick patterns near support that could indicate a bounce.
Support & Resistance
| Level | Price | Formed |
|---|---|---|
| R1 | 158.33600 | 2026-10-28 |
| R2 | 158.94900 | 2026-10-14 |
| R3 | 159.03800 | 2026-09-24 |
| S1 | 156.96200 | 2026-10-30 |
| S2 | 156.07500 | 2026-10-23 |
| S3 | 152.88300 | 2026-09-08 |