AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 16:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.11 %

Entry

108.884

Target

111.131 +2.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

108.237 −0.59 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.1 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 615 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:50November 15, 2026JPYNet Exports Contribution to GDP q/q●●○Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.5%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP y/y●●●Forecast -0.3%Previous 1.4%in 4 days
23:50November 15, 2026JPYGDP Price Index y/y●●○Forecast 2.3%Previous 2.6%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 16:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▲	DPO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▲	BIAS Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.32
▼	AROON Strong Downtrend	indicator	1.31
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.23
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 30M chart, but the higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are strongly bearish.
Immediate resistance at 111.13100 is the key hurdle; a break above could signal a trend reversal.
Support at 108.23700 is the invalidation level for the bullish setup.
This is likely a counter-trend bounce; consider it a scalp opportunity with tight risk controls.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP zero cross up, a BBANDS middle cross up, and a DEMA retreat up, alongside several momentum crossovers. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish, with the 1-hour timeframe showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and the 2-hour timeframe a solid downtrend (3/5). This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum is turning upward, but the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly lower. The nearest resistance at 111.13100 is a critical barrier; a sustained break above it could signal a shift in the higher-timeframe trend, while failure to hold above it may see the pair resume its larger downtrend. Support at 108.23700 is the key downside level to watch for invalidation of the bullish signal.

The bullish signals are primarily short-term and may represent a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure. The 15-minute timeframe is bullish but choppy (1/5), and the 30-minute is bearish with trend forming (2/5), suggesting the immediate up-move lacks strong trend confirmation. Traders should treat this as a potential scalp opportunity, with tight risk management, rather than a high-conviction trend trade. The confluence of multiple indicators firing together does add some weight, but the overwhelming bearish bias across most timeframes argues for caution. Key levels to monitor are the resistance at 111.13100 and support at 108.23700; a close above resistance could flip the bias, while a break below support would negate the bullish signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (BOP, BBANDS, DEMA, MAMA) firing bullish at the same time.
▲ 15-minute bullish momentum, albeit choppy, providing short-term tailwind.
▲ Nearest resistance is well-defined, offering a clear level to watch for a breakout.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are strongly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish momentum.
▼ The 30M timeframe itself is still bearish, so the bullish signals may be premature.
▼ A failure to break above resistance at 111.13100 could lead to a reversal back toward support.
▼ Momentum signals like STOCH and HT SINE show mixed direction, indicating uncertainty.