AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-06 15:30 UTC 44 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

108.748

Target

108.237 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.131 −2.19 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Down, MIDPRICE Break Down, HMA Break Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.98) ▼ Bearish 95 % (40.05)

model score 22.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	3.10
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.90
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.63
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.55
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.44
▼	MA Break Down	indicator	2.44
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.17
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	1.83
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.31

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 30-minute chart with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) confirm the bearish bias, while the 15-minute is choppy and could cause minor pullbacks.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 111.13100 and support at 108.23700.
A break below support would likely extend the decline; a move above resistance would invalidate the setup.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple moving average breakdowns (EMA, KAMA, MA). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current level, with the 30-minute trend already bearish and solid (3/5). The higher timeframes reinforce the bearish case: the 1-hour trend is very strong (4/5), and the 2-hour is solid (3/5), while 4-hour through 12-hour trends are all bearish though still forming. The overall alignment across timeframes supports a continued move lower, with the nearest resistance at 111.13100 acting as a ceiling and the nearest support at 108.23700 as the primary downside target.

Traders should watch for price to respect the resistance zone and maintain momentum below the broken moving averages. The 15-minute timeframe is choppy and slightly bullish, which could cause short-term pullbacks, but the dominant bearish structure on higher timeframes should keep the pressure to the downside. A break below the 108.23700 support would confirm further bearish continuation, while a close back above 111.13100 would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators firing simultaneously (CCI, STOCHRSI, BBands, EMA, KAMA, MA) create a high-conviction signal.
▼ Trend alignment across 30-minute through 12-hour timeframes all bearish, with the 1-hour trend very strong.
▼ Price is retreating from the upper Bollinger Band and breaking below the middle band, indicating a shift from overbought to bearish momentum.
▼ High probability rating (95%) and very strong signal strength suggest a robust setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe is still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ The nearest support at 108.23700 is far away, so the trade may face a long move with potential for consolidation or reversal before reaching it.
▲ If price closes back above the 111.13100 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and a short squeeze could occur.
▲ The 1-day trend is choppy/sideways, indicating that the broader daily picture lacks a clear downtrend, which could limit the downside.