AUD/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.25 %

Entry

0.68637

Target

0.67789 +1.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70680 −2.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

36.2 % ↓ −23.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 13 % (3.90) ▼ Bearish 87 % (27.27)

model score 23.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 22h
13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 22h
15:00TomorrowUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.70
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.61
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.48
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	1.37
▼	T3 Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.07
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	0.91
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple indicators align for a bearish move on AUD/USD, including midpoint, midprice, and T3 retreats down.
Trend is consistently bearish across all timeframes, with the strongest momentum on the 1-hour chart.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70680; a break above could invalidate the bearish signal.
Oversold indicators (KDJ, RSX) suggest potential for further downside, but a bounce is possible.

The AUD/USD 12-hour signal has fired a SELL with multiple technical confirmations. The stochastic fast (STOCHF) KD cross up suggests a short-term bounce, but the retreat down signals from the midpoint, midprice, and T3 lines indicate that this bounce is being sold into, reinforcing the bearish momentum. The HT trendmode shift to trend, along with the ER level cross up, points to a broader move lower, while the KDJ and RSX oversold entries hint at potential for further downside as the market remains in a downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bias is consistently bearish, with the 1-hour showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30-minute, 2-hour, and 4-hour all solid (3/5). Higher timeframes like 12-hour and daily are still forming trends (2/5), suggesting the bearish move is still developing. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is a key level to watch; a break above it would weaken the bearish case, while a rejection there could lead to continued downside. With no clear support nearby, the path of least resistance remains lower.

Catalysts

▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with strong trend scores on the 1-hour chart.
▼ Confluence of multiple retreat-down signals (midpoint, midprice, T3) and HT trendmode shift to trend.
▼ Oversold conditions on KDJ and RSX may fuel continued selling as the market remains in a downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 0.70680 provides a clear level to defend the bearish bias.

Risk Factors

▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.70680 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 12-hour and daily trends are only 'forming', indicating the bearish move may lack full confirmation on higher timeframes.
▲ Oversold conditions could lead to a short-term bounce, slowing the downside.
▲ The stochastic cross up and ER level cross up may signal a temporary pullback, conflicting with the overall bearish direction.