AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.50 %
Entry
0.68994
Target
0.70246 +1.81 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.68353 −0.93 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,048 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
  • November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 6%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 2.03
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.55
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.09
▲ Spinning Top Bullish candlestick 0.98

Trend Context

15M
DOWNVery strong trend
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish reversal signals on the 1H chart suggest a potential short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend is firmly bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal.
  • Watch the 0.70246 resistance level; a break above it could signal a larger reversal.
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) are turning up, but the trend remains down.
The AUD/USD 1H signal fires a cluster of bullish indicators: a BOP Zero Cross Up, a STOCHF KD Cross Up, a ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, a Bullish Harami, and a Spinning Top Bullish. These combined signals suggest a short-term bounce attempt within a broader bearish context. The bullish candlestick patterns and momentum oscillators turning up indicate that selling pressure may be easing, at least temporarily.

However, the trend across all timeframes is bearish, with very strong bearish trends on the 15m, 30m, and 1H charts. This creates a conflict between the immediate bullish signals and the prevailing downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a critical level to watch; a failure to break above it would likely confirm that the bounce is corrective. Given the strong bearish alignment on the lower timeframes, any long position should be considered counter-trend and requires tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple bullish candlestick patterns (Bullish Harami, Spinning Top Bullish) at a potential extreme.
  • ▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicates price is stretched below its mean, increasing the likelihood of a mean reversion.
  • ▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up both confirm improving buying pressure.
  • ▲ The confluence of indicator and candlestick signals strengthens the short-term bullish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The bearish trend is very strong on the 1H and lower timeframes, which could overwhelm the bullish signals.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is nearby; a failure to break above it would likely invalidate the bounce.
  • ▼ The 8H and 12H trends are choppy/sideways, offering no support for a sustained move higher.
  • ▼ If the price breaks below the recent swing low, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29

Tags

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