AUD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW
45 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
0.68721
Target
0.68472 +0.36 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70246 −2.22 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Intraday
▲ Bullish 22 % (4.55) ▼ Bearish 78 % (15.80)
model score 77.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 3h
  • November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.43
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ SMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.71
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.54
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.30
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.08
▼ Closing Marubozu Bearish candlestick 0.53

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNVery strong trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators and candlestick patterns align on the 1H, with a 77% probability.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes from 15m to 8h, with very strong trends on 30m, 1h, and 2h.
  • Resistance at 0.70246 is the key level to watch; a break above it would signal a potential reversal.
  • No defined support means downside targets are unclear; manage risk accordingly.
The AUD/USD 1H signal is firmly bearish, with a 77% probability and strong strength. The confluence of multiple indicator signals—BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, SAR Flip Bullish, SMA Retreat Down, and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend—along with candlestick patterns, indicates a robust selling momentum. The trend alignment across timeframes is overwhelmingly bearish, with 15m through 8h all showing bearish trends, and the strongest trends (4/5) on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes. Only the 12h shows choppy/sideways, but the overall picture is clear.

Key levels to watch: the nearest resistance at 0.70246 is the immediate barrier that sellers need to defend. With no nearest support defined, downside targets are less clear, but the strong trend scores suggest that any pullback toward resistance could be an opportunity to join the downtrend. The SAR Flip Bullish indicates a potential temporary bounce, but the overall momentum remains bearish. Traders should monitor the 0.70246 level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Overwhelming bearish trend alignment across multiple timeframes, with strong trend scores on 30m, 1h, and 2h.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, MIDPRICE, SAR, SMA, HT TRENDMODE) all pointing down.
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the bearish momentum.
  • ▼ The SAR Flip Bullish suggests a minor bounce, but the overall trend remains bearish, offering potential entries on rallies.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could indicate a larger consolidation that may limit downside.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.70246 is a key level; a break above it would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The SAR Flip Bullish hints at a possible short-term bounce, which could lead to a pullback before further downside.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the price approaches the 0.70246 resistance without a clear rejection.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 78%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 15:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29

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