AVAX/USDT – 30M – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.43 %

Entry

8.3590

Target

8.8610 +6.01 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.0840 −3.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,845 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,845 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Break Up, ALMA Retreat Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

64.5 % ↑ +19.9 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Scalping

▲ Bullish 89 % (13.76) ▼ Bearish 11 % (1.64)

model score 89.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.7 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 38.7 % vs 22.9 % (crypto, 2,104 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1h
13:30TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 10:32 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	BBANDS UPPER Break Up	indicator	2.74
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.74
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.65
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	SMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.53
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.49
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.46
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	1.34
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.29

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term reversal attempt.
The higher timeframes (1H, 12H) remain in solid bearish trends, so this is a counter-trend signal.
Key resistance at 8.86100 is the first major upside target; a break above it could confirm the reversal.
Support at 8.08400 is the critical invalidation level; losing it would negate the bullish signal.

The 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Stoch F KD cross down (a bullish reversal signal in this context), a breakout above the upper Bollinger Band, and a series of moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA, midpoint) all pointing upward. The confluence of these indicators, coupled with an 86% probability and very strong strength, suggests that the immediate price action is attempting to reverse the prevailing bearish structure on the higher timeframes. The nearest resistance at 8.86100 represents the first major hurdle; a sustained move above this level would confirm the bullish momentum and potentially shift the broader trend.

However, the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly bearish, with the 1-hour and 12-hour charts showing solid downtrends (trend score 3/5). This creates a conflicting picture: the short-term bullish signals are fighting against the dominant bearish trend. The nearest support at 8.08400 is critical; if price fails to hold above this level, the bullish signals would likely be invalidated, and the bearish trend would resume. Traders should watch for a decisive break above 8.86100 to confirm the reversal, while keeping a close eye on the 8.08400 support as the invalidation level.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators (Stoch F, Bollinger Bands, moving averages) all pointing bullish.
▲ Very strong signal strength (86% probability) adds confidence to the short-term move.
▲ Price is attempting to reclaim the upper Bollinger Band, indicating strong buying pressure.
▲ The 15-minute trend is bullish, providing near-term momentum alignment.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H, 12H) are in solid bearish trends, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, so this signal may be a counter-trend bounce rather than a reversal.
▼ If price fails to break above 8.86100, the bullish momentum could fade and lead to a retest of support.
▼ A drop below 8.08400 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the bearish trend.