BNB/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL With the trend 3× UPDATED

2026-11-06 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.63 %

Entry

693.67

Target

680.74 +1.86 %

closes in profit

Stop

723.42 −4.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 8 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,091 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,091 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.63 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 25 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.73 % 21 % at stop avg −3.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, EMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −13.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 29 % (5.57) ▼ Bearish 71 % (13.57)

model score 1.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BNB/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.86
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.35
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	TEMA Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	WMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.37
▲	Southern Doji	candlestick	1.23
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.11
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators (APO, STOCH, moving averages) all signal downward on the 4H.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) confirm a solid downtrend, supporting the sell signal.
Key levels: resistance at 723.42 and support at 680.74; a break below support would confirm the bearish move.
Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are still bullish and choppy, so expect possible intraday pullbacks.

The 4H chart for BNB/USDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, with the APO Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats and breaks (EMA, MAMA, TEMA, WMA, ALMA, HMA) all aligning to the downside. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong bearish push, supported by a very strong signal strength and a 90% probability. The bearish alignment is reinforced across higher timeframes, with the 8H and 12H charts showing solid downtrends, while the 4H itself is in a forming bearish trend. However, the 15M and 30M timeframes are still bullish and choppy, suggesting that the immediate downside may face some intraday counter-trend noise, but the overall bias remains firmly bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 723.42 and support at 680.74. A break below the support would confirm the continuation of the bearish move, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The combination of multiple indicator breaks and retreats, along with solid trend scores on the 8H and 12H, suggests that the current sell signal has strong momentum behind it. Traders should monitor the price action around these levels for confirmation and manage risk accordingly, as the higher timeframe alignment supports the bearish outlook but the choppy lower timeframes could cause temporary pullbacks.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (APO zero cross, STOCH cross, moving average breaks) on the 4H.
▼ Trend alignment across 4H, 8H, and 12H timeframes, all showing bearish momentum.
▼ Very strong signal strength (90% probability) indicating high conviction in the bearish move.
▼ Breakdown of several moving averages (EMA, TEMA, WMA, ALMA, HMA) suggests sustained selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15M, 30M) are still bullish and choppy, which could lead to short-term bounces against the signal.
▲ If price reclaims the 723.42 resistance, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ The 1H and 2H trends are only 'forming' (2/5) and could reverse, weakening the overall bearish case.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal patterns or momentum shifts that could signal a false breakdown.