EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend NEW

2026-11-06 15:00 UTC 45 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

176.359

Target

175.073 +0.73 %

closes in profit

Stop

178.482 −1.20 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Break Down, ALMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 11 % (4.06) ▼ Bearish 89 % (33.36)

model score 89.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00November 9, 2026EURTrade Balance●●○Forecast €17.6BPrevious €19.5Bin 2 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	3.01
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.20
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.81
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H timeframe, with MACD cross down and lower Bollinger Band breakdown.
Bearish trend is consistent across lower timeframes (15m to 4H), but higher timeframes are only trend-forming.
Key levels: resistance at 178.482, support at 175.073; a break below support could extend the move.
STOCHRSI KD Cross Up warns of potential short-term oversold bounce, so manage risk accordingly.

The EUR/JPY 1H chart is flashing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a MACD Signal Cross Down and a breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band. This is reinforced by retreats in the DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA, along with a retreat from a horizontal trendline, indicating broad-based selling pressure across multiple indicators. The signal strength is very strong with an 89% probability, and the bearish alignment extends across the 15m through 4h timeframes, with the 1H showing a very strong trend (4/5) and the 30m and 2H solid (3/5). However, the higher timeframes (4H and above) are only trend-forming or choppy, suggesting this is a short-term bearish move within a larger consolidation.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 178.482 and support at 175.073. A break below the latter would open the door for further downside, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Up is a cautionary note, hinting at possible short-term oversold conditions that could trigger a bounce. Traders should monitor price action at these levels and watch for momentum shifts before committing to shorts.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) confirm broad-based selling pressure.
▼ Breakdown below the lower Bollinger Band indicates strong downside momentum.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1H, and 2H timeframes supports the continuation of the move.
▼ Horizontal trendline retreat adds confluence to the bearish setup.

Risk Factors

▲ STOCHRSI KD Cross Up suggests oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce.
▲ Higher timeframes (4H and above) are only trend-forming, so the bearish move may lack long-term conviction.
▲ A reclaim of the resistance at 178.482 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Choppy price action on the 15m and 4H timeframes could lead to false breakouts.