GBP/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 22:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.01 %

Entry

1.34453

Target

1.32731 +1.28 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.36747 −1.71 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 634 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 634 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, DEMA Break Down, MIDPOINT Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.8 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 15.7 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 803 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 44m
07:00November 12, 2026GBPGDP m/m●●●Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
07:00November 12, 2026GBPGDP y/y●●●Forecast 1.3%Previous 1.4%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 02:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MIDPOINT Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	TEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	MIDPRICE Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.05
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.00
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.97
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.93
▼	EMA Break Down	indicator	1.91
▲	KDJ OS Entry	indicator	1.24

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple moving-average breakdowns (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, etc.) signal strong short-term bearish momentum on the 4H.
KDJ oversold entry suggests the sell-off may be overextended, but it also supports the bearish signal.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) remain bullish, creating a trend conflict that could limit downside.
Watch the 1.32731 support level: a break confirms the bearish move, while a hold could trigger a bounce.

The 4H GBP/USD chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish moving-average breakdown signals (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE, TEMA Retreat Down) alongside an oversold KDJ entry, indicating strong short-term selling pressure. However, the broader picture is mixed: while the 15m to 1h timeframes are bearish but choppy, the 2h through daily timeframes remain bullish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid uptrends. This creates a conflict where the immediate momentum favors a pullback, but the higher-timeframe trend suggests the move may be corrective rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest support at 1.32731, which aligns with the lower boundary of the recent range. A break below this level would confirm the bearish signal and open the door for a deeper correction. Conversely, if price holds above support and the higher-timeframe bullish trend resumes, the sell-off could stall. The confluence of multiple moving-average breakdowns and the KDJ oversold condition add weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting trend alignment across timeframes keeps the probability of a sustained downtrend moderate. Traders should monitor price action around 1.32731 for validation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 10+ indicator signals all pointing to a breakdown.
▼ Bearish alignment across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.
▼ Strong trend score on the 4H signal (very strong, 95% probability).
▼ Oversold KDJ entry adds technical confluence to the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bullish, which could override the bearish signal and cause a reversal.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (1/5 trend score) suggest weak follow-through.
▲ If price fails to break below 1.32731, the bearish signal may be invalidated and a bounce could occur.
▲ The oversold KDJ condition could trigger a mean-reversion bounce, limiting downside.