LUNC/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED
1 day ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +3.05 %
Entry
0.00004094
Target
0.00003921 +4.23 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00005791 −41.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.10 % per trade 783 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 783 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
23 % at target avg +5.10 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.70 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.75 % 17 % at stop avg −5.94 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, TTM TREND Trend Down

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
66.1 % ↑ +3.2 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 10 % (1.58) ▼ Bearish 90 % (15.01)
model score 90.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
LUNC/USDT  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days
  • November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 12h 91%
conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.42
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.74
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.29
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.28

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish trend across 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes, with the 12H showing extreme strength.
  • Multiple indicators (BOP, MIDPOINT, CTI, TTM) align to confirm selling pressure.
  • Watch for a break below the 0.00004 support to confirm continuation, or a move above 0.00006 to invalidate.
  • Short-term timeframes are choppy, so expect possible sideways action before the next leg down.
The LUN/CUSDT pair is exhibiting a strong bearish bias across multiple timeframes, with the 12H chart showing an extremely strong downtrend (5/5) and the 8H and 1D charts also registering very strong bearish trends (4/5 each). The confluence of signals—BOP Zero Cross Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, CTI OS Exit, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, and TTM TREND Trend Down—indicates that selling pressure is dominant and momentum is aligned to the downside. The ERI BULL Zero Cross Up may appear as a short-term bullish signal, but it is likely a minor counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish structure, and the overall signal remains bearish.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 0.00006 and the nearest support at 0.00004. A break below the support could accelerate the downtrend, while a move back above the resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The moderate strength of the signal (71% probability) suggests that while the trend is firmly bearish, traders should remain cautious about potential short-term pullbacks, especially given the choppy conditions on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trend alignment across multiple timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) strongly supports the bearish direction.
  • ▼ Confluence of four bearish signals (BOP Zero Cross Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, CTI OS Exit, TTM TREND Trend Down) reinforces the sell bias.
  • ▼ The 12H trend score of 5/5 indicates extremely strong bearish momentum.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 0.00006 has held, providing a clear level to watch for rejection.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The ERI BULL Zero Cross Up is a bullish signal that could indicate a short-term bounce, potentially stalling the downtrend.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes suggest that momentum may be fading in the short term.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.00006 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ The moderate probability (71%) leaves room for false signals, so confirmation from price action is essential.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 12H
Direction SELL
Conviction 91%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-06 12:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00006 2026-09-23
R2 0.00006 2026-08-22
S1 0.00004 2026-10-30

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