LUNC/USDT – 8H – SELL

SELL With the trend 4× UPDATED

2026-11-06 16:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +3.05 %

Entry

0.00004094

Target

0.00003921 +4.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004674 −14.17 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 4 of 10

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 52 of 100 crypto 8h signals ended in profit · on average −0.18 % per trade 1,133 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,133 closed crypto 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

27 % at target avg +3.93 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.28 % 27 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.55 % 21 % at stop avg −5.22 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 50 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 27 of 100 across all crypto 8h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, MOM Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +9.9 vs previous candle

STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 5 % (1.21) ▼ Bearish 95 % (22.89)

model score 95.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 2 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.78
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.65
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	2.18
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	2.17
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.10
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.09
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.06

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 8H with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show very strong bearish trends, confirming the direction.
Key support at 0.00004 is the critical level to watch for a potential breakdown.
Resistance at 0.00005 is the immediate hurdle; a reclaim would weaken the bearish case.

The SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT at the 8H timeframe is backed by a dense cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators, all crossing down simultaneously. The BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR zero-line cross downs indicate deteriorating buying pressure and negative price momentum, while the STOCHF KD cross down confirms short-term bearish momentum. The EMA, SMA, and HT TRENDLINE retreat downs show that price is pulling back from key moving averages and the long-term trendline, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent but strongest on the higher timeframes: the 8H, 12H, and 1D all show very strong or extremely strong bearish trends (4/5, 5/5, 4/5), while lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h, 2h) are also bearish but with weaker trend scores (1-2/5), indicating choppy or forming conditions. This suggests the primary trend is firmly down, and the current signal aligns with the higher-timeframe direction. The nearest resistance at 0.00005 and support at 0.00004 are key levels to monitor; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of nine indicators all firing bearish signals simultaneously.
▼ Extremely strong bearish trend on 12H (5/5) and very strong on 8H and 1D (4/5).
▼ Price retreating from EMA, SMA, and HT TRENDLINE, indicating rejection at resistance.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC) all crossing below zero, signaling selling pressure.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (30m-2h) show weak trend scores (1/5), suggesting choppy conditions that could lead to false breakouts.
▲ If price holds above support at 0.00004 and rebounds, the bearish signal may stall.
▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 0.00005 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Overbought conditions may be present, but a sharp bounce could occur if momentum diverges from price.