NZD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 22:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.23 %

Entry

0.55941

Target

0.56581 +1.14 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55810 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,632 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,632 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, KDJ OS Exit, RSI OS Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.5 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 13.8 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 983 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	2.36
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.18
▲	RSI OS Exit	indicator	2.02
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.48
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.47
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.11
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals are firing after a prolonged decline, suggesting a short-term bounce.
The broader trend is still bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move rather than a full reversal.
Watch 0.56581 resistance: a break above confirms the bounce; a loss of 0.55810 support invalidates it.
Higher timeframe trends are weak or sideways, so expect limited upside unless resistance is broken.

The 1H NZD/USD signal fires a cluster of bullish reversal indicators after an extended bearish move: BOP Zero Cross Up, RSI OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, Long Legged Doji, and Below The Stomach. Together they suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and that a short-term bounce is likely. The Long Legged Doji and Below The Stomach candlesticks add confluence for a potential reversal at the lows, while the ZSCORE extreme low exit indicates price has moved far from its mean, increasing the odds of a reversion.

However, the broader trend remains bearish across all timeframes, with very strong bearish trends on the 15m, 30m, and daily charts. The 1H trend is only forming (2/5), and higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are choppy/sideways, which limits the conviction of a sustained reversal. The nearest resistance at 0.56581 is the immediate upside target; a break above it would confirm the bullish signal, while failure to hold above the nearest support at 0.55810 would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (RSI, KDJ, ZSCORE) align, indicating extreme downside exhaustion.
▲ Candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Below The Stomach) add confluence for a reversal at the lows.
▲ The 1H trend is only forming (2/5), leaving room for a bounce before the bearish trend strengthens.
▲ The signal probability is 91% with very strong strength, indicating high technical confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant trend is bearish across all timeframes; a counter-trend bounce may quickly fade.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.56581 is a key barrier; failure to break it could lead to a resumption of the downtrend.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are very strong bearish, which could overpower the 1H reversal signal.
▼ If price breaks below 0.55810 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and downside momentum likely resumes.