NZD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-05 22:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.55940

Target

0.56581 +1.15 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55810 −0.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, TEMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↓ −1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 87 % (11.38) ▼ Bearish 13 % (1.75)

model score 86.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.2 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 949 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 13h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 13h
13:30TomorrowUSDParticipation Rate●●○Forecast 61.9%Previous 61.8%in 13h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.75
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.21
▲	ACCBANDS LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	1.19
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.13
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.11
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNVery strong trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term bounce, but the overall trend is bearish across all timeframes.
The nearest resistance at 0.56581 is the key upside target; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case.
Support at 0.55810 is the invalidation level; a move below it would negate the bullish signals.
This is likely a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so position sizing and risk management are critical.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a CCI oversold exit, a StochRSI bullish crossover, a TEMA retreat upward, an AO saucer bullish pattern, an ER level cross down, an HMA retreat upward, a bullish retreat in the lower ACCBANDS band, and a bullish Spinning Top candlestick. Together, these indicate that downside momentum is exhausting and a short-term bounce is likely. However, the broader trend context is firmly bearish across all timeframes, with very strong bearish trends on the 15-minute and 30-minute charts and a solid daily downtrend. This suggests the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, not a reversal.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.56581 and support at 0.55810. A break above resistance would signal a stronger correction, while a move below support would invalidate the bullish setup and confirm continued bearish pressure. Given the strong bearish alignment on higher timeframes, any long position should be treated as tactical, with tight risk management and a focus on the resistance zone as a potential exit area.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators firing simultaneously (CCI, StochRSI, TEMA, AO, ER, HMA, ACCBANDS, candlestick) increase the probability of a bounce.
▲ The bullish signals are occurring near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting oversold conditions may be ripe for a correction.
▲ The Spinning Top candlestick pattern indicates indecision and potential reversal, supporting the bullish thesis.
▲ Strong trend scores on lower timeframes (15m and 30m) could mean momentum is shifting, even if higher timeframes are bearish.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 15m and 30m trends, could easily overwhelm the bullish signals.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.55810 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely lead to further downside.
▼ The bullish signals may be a temporary pullback within a larger downtrend, and momentum could fade quickly if resistance at 0.56581 holds.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (1h, 2h, 4h, etc.) are bearish and could reassert control, making any long position risky.