USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-06 10:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

1.40723

Target

1.39427 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.41339 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping

▲ Bullish 18 % (4.24) ▼ Bearish 82 % (19.01)

model score 81.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 1h
13:30TodayCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 1h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.17
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▲	ULTOSC OB Exit	indicator	1.28
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.15
▼	STC Level Cross Down	indicator	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish oscillator signals on the 30M chart suggests a short-term pullback or reversal.
Lower timeframes (15M-1H) are strongly bullish, but higher timeframes (4H-8H) are only forming, creating a mixed trend picture.
The daily trend is solidly bearish, adding longer-term downside pressure.
Key support at 1.39427 is the level to watch; a break below could confirm further downside.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, and STC Level Cross Down, alongside two additional signals. This confluence of momentum and oscillator exits from overbought conditions suggests a short-term pullback or reversal is underway, despite the prevailing bullish trend on the lower timeframes. The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes all show very strong bullish trends (4/5), but the 4h and 8h trends are only forming (2/5), indicating that the higher-timeframe momentum is not yet fully aligned with the lower-timeframe strength. The daily timeframe is bearish with a solid trend (3/5), which adds a layer of longer-term downside pressure.

Traders should watch the nearest support at 1.39427 as the key downside target and invalidation zone. A break below this level would confirm the bearish move and potentially open the door to further declines, while a bounce from this level could signal that the bullish trend on the lower timeframes is still intact. The combination of overbought exits and a bearish daily trend suggests that the current pullback may have room to extend, but the strong lower-timeframe trends argue for caution. The probability of 76% and strong signal strength indicate a high-confidence setup, yet the conflicting higher-timeframe trends warrant careful monitoring of price action around the support level.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, ULTOSC, STC) align to indicate momentum exhaustion.
▼ Cross-down signals on BOP, STOCH, KDJ, and SMI reinforce the bearish momentum shift.
▼ The daily timeframe's solid bearish trend supports the case for a deeper pullback.
▼ High signal probability (76%) and strong signal strength increase confidence in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The lower timeframes (15M-1H) are in very strong bullish trends, which could overpower the bearish signals.
▲ A bullish trend forming on the 4H and 8H timeframes suggests the pullback may be temporary.
▲ If price holds above support at 1.39427 and resumes higher, the bearish setup could be invalidated.
▲ The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction.