USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-05 21:30 UTC 19 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %

Entry

1.40189

Target

1.39427 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40803 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 2h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 3 days
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.66
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.42
▼	Bearish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.18
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on the 30-minute chart, but the broader trend is mostly bullish.
Key support at 1.39427 is the immediate level to watch; a break could confirm the downside.
Signal strength is weak and probability is moderate, so caution is advised.
Higher timeframes show bullish trends, creating a conflict with the short-term bearish signals.

The 30-minute USD/CAD chart has generated a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and a Bearish Harami Cross, alongside an exit from KDJ overbought conditions and a retreat from HMA. These indicators suggest short-term selling pressure may be building after a period of upward momentum. However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, with solid trends on the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour charts, and forming trends on the 2-hour and 4-hour charts. This creates a conflict between the immediate bearish signals and the higher-timeframe bullish bias.

Key support sits at 1.39427, which is the nearest level to watch. If price breaks below this support, it could confirm the bearish reversal and open the door for further downside. Conversely, if support holds, the bullish trend may resume. The signal's strength is weak, and the probability is only 62%, so traders should be cautious. The 8-hour and daily timeframes are bearish, which adds some weight to the sell signal, but the overall alignment is mixed. Watching price action around the support level will be crucial for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of bearish signals including BOP, STOCHRSI, and candlestick patterns.
▼ Exit from overbought conditions on KDJ and ZSCORE suggests potential for mean reversion.
▼ Bearish trends on the 8-hour and daily timeframes provide longer-term support for the sell bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Strong bullish trends on the 15-minute, 30-minute, and 1-hour timeframes could override the short-term bearish signals.
▲ If price holds above support at 1.39427, the sell signal may fail and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Weak signal strength and low probability reduce the reliability of the setup.
▲ The mixed trend alignment across timeframes adds uncertainty to the direction.