USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL With the trend 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-06 02:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.25 %

Entry

157.875

Target

157.397 +0.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.504 −0.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,711 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,711 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.39 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Triple Top, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 44m
13:30November 12, 2026USDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 1 day
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Double Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.95
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	2.07
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.96
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	Triple Topbreak + retest	chart_pattern	1.76
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.57
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.29
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.02
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart, with multiple chart patterns and indicators aligning.
Trend is bearish across all timeframes, but higher timeframes are choppy, reducing conviction.
Watch for a break below 157.783 support to confirm further downside; a move above 158.504 would invalidate.
High probability (82%) and strong strength indicate a robust setup, but risk management is key given choppy higher timeframes.

The USD/JPY 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Double Top and Triple Top pattern, alongside a host of momentum and trend indicators. The confluence of chart patterns, candlestick signals, and oscillator crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down) points to strong selling pressure, while the EMA 200 and KAMA retreats confirm a bearish tilt in the higher timeframe structure. The overall trend across timeframes is bearish, though the daily and higher intraday frames are choppy, which tempers the strength of the move.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.504 and support at 157.783. A break below support would likely extend the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the setup. The signal's high probability (82%) and strong strength suggest conviction, but the mixed higher timeframe trend scores warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation or invalidation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of Double Top and Triple Top patterns on the 1H chart.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, MACD) all crossing bearish.
▼ EMA 200 and KAMA retreats confirm bearish trend alignment.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across 15m, 30m, and 1H timeframes.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could limit downside follow-through.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 158.504 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Momentum signals like CCI Zero Cross Up and MACD Signal Cross Up may indicate short-term bounce risk.
▲ Fading momentum or a false breakout below support could lead to a reversal.