USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-06 17:00 UTC 45 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

158.242

Target

158.674 +0.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.690 −0.35 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Scalping

▲ Bullish 75 % (18.53) ▼ Bearish 25 % (6.22)

model score 74.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 14.7 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 651 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

20:00TodayUSDFed Consumer Credit m/m●●○Forecast $11.36BPrevious $8.28Bin 1h
18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 17:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.20
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.12
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.30
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.14
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a potential bounce from support.
The trend is choppy across all timeframes, so expect range-bound action rather than a clean trend.
Key resistance at 158.50400 must be broken to confirm upside continuation.
Support at 157.69000 is the immediate invalidation level for the bullish setup.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is strongly bullish, firing a cluster of trend-following indicators including EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 200, and HT trendline retreats, alongside a BOP zero cross up and a CTI oversold entry. This suggests that after a pullback, buyers are stepping in at a key support zone, with momentum shifting from bearish to bullish. The squeeze zero cross down adds a contrarian twist, often preceding a volatility expansion that could favor the direction of the breakout.

However, the broader trend context is mixed and predominantly bearish on higher timeframes, with all timeframes showing choppy/sideways conditions. The 30-minute and 1-hour trends are bullish, but the 2-hour through daily trends remain bearish, indicating that this is likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 158.50400 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would confirm the bullish momentum, while a failure could lead to a retest of support at 157.69000. The high probability (88%) and very strong strength suggest conviction, but traders should watch for a higher-timeframe rejection.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 200) align to support a bullish move.
▲ The BOP zero cross up indicates improving buying pressure.
▲ The CTI oversold entry suggests the pullback may be exhausted.
▲ The squeeze zero cross down could precede a volatility expansion favoring the breakout direction.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, so this may be a counter-trend bounce.
▼ All timeframes are choppy/sideways, which increases the risk of false signals.
▼ A break below support at 157.69000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Resistance at 158.50400 could cap upside and lead to a reversal.