USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-06 20:00 UTC 22 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now ±0.00 %

Entry

158.476

Target

157.690 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.254 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,154 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,154 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MACD Hidden Bear Div, HMA Retreat Down, AO Hidden Bear Div +1 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +33% Scalping

▲ Bullish 17 % (2.21) ▼ Bearish 83 % (10.66)

model score 82.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

18:00November 9, 2026USD3-Year Note Auction●●○Previous 4.932%in 2 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 20:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MACD Hidden Bear Div	divergence	1.94
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.84
▼	AO Hidden Bear Div	divergence	1.58
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.31
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.14
▲	Inverted Hammer	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (CTI OB, HMA Retreat, candlestick patterns, hidden divergences) align on the 30M chart, suggesting a high-probability sell opportunity.
The broader trend (2H to 1D) is bearish, supporting the idea that the current pullback is a correction within a downtrend.
Key levels: resistance at 158.49800 and support at 157.69000; a break below support confirms bearish continuation.
Short-term timeframes (15M-1H) are still bullish but weak, so watch for a shift in momentum to confirm the reversal.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a CTI OB Entry, HMA Retreat Down, an Inverted Hammer, a Long Legged Doji, and hidden bearish divergences on both the MACD and AO. These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum is fading and that a pullback or reversal lower is likely from overbought conditions. The candlestick patterns, particularly the Inverted Hammer and Long Legged Doji, indicate indecision and potential rejection at higher levels, while the hidden divergences point to weakening bullish momentum despite price making higher highs.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with the 2H through 1D timeframes all showing bearish and choppy/sideways conditions. However, the 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, albeit choppy and with weak trend scores (1/5). This mixed picture suggests that the short-term bullish move may be a corrective bounce within a larger downtrend, and the bearish signals on the 30M chart could mark the start of a resumption of the broader bearish trend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.49800 and support at 157.69000; a break below support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of signals from three groups: indicators, candlesticks, and divergences, increasing the reliability of the bearish outlook.
▼ Hidden bearish divergences on MACD and AO suggest that the recent upward move is losing momentum despite higher price highs.
▼ The bearish trend across higher timeframes (2H-1D) aligns with the short-term sell signal, suggesting a continuation of the larger downtrend.
▼ The presence of an Inverted Hammer and Long Legged Doji at resistance indicates potential rejection and a shift in sentiment.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15M, 30M, and 1H timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the pullback is shallow and price may resume higher, invalidating the signal.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 158.49800, the bearish setup is invalidated and a move higher is likely.
▲ The choppy/sideways nature across all timeframes (trend score 1/5) suggests low momentum, which could lead to a range-bound market rather than a strong trend.
▲ Hidden bearish divergence can sometimes precede a continuation of the trend rather than a reversal, so caution is warranted if price stalls near support.