AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.50 %
Entry
0.68637
Target
0.70246 +2.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.67994 −0.94 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,754 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.37 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, Takuri Line +1 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.7 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 13.9 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 1,066 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 22h
  • TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 22h
  • TomorrowUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 26%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.71
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.56
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.50
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.27
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.09

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNVery strong trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple reversal signals fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so any upside is likely corrective.
  • Resistance at 0.70246 is the key level to watch for a potential ceiling.
  • Treat this as a counter-trend trade with tight risk controls.
The AUD/USD 1H chart has triggered a cluster of counter-trend buy signals, including a Dragonfly Doji and Takuri Line candlestick patterns alongside CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down. These signals collectively suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and a short-term bounce may be developing. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 1H showing a very strong downtrend (4/5) and most other timeframes confirming bearish pressure. This creates a conflict between the immediate reversal signals and the dominant trend, implying that any upside is likely corrective rather than a trend reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 0.70246, which aligns with the bearish structure and could cap any rally. With no defined support level provided, the recent lows serve as the immediate downside reference. The confluence of multiple reversal signals increases the probability of a bounce, but the strong bearish trend across timeframes suggests that any long position should be treated as a counter-trend trade with tight risk management. Traders should monitor whether price can hold above the recent swing low and whether momentum indicators continue to recover, as a failure to sustain a bounce would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of candlestick and indicator reversal signals (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down).
  • ▲ Oversold conditions indicated by CCI and stochastic oscillators, which often precede bounces.
  • ▲ Strong signal probability (79%) and strength rating (strong).
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Dominant bearish trend across all timeframes, especially the very strong 1H downtrend, could overpower the reversal attempt.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.70246 may act as a strong barrier, limiting upside.
  • ▼ Lack of a defined support level increases uncertainty about where the bounce might stall.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the recent swing low, the bullish signals are invalidated and the downtrend resumes.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 26%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70246 2026-11-05
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29

Tags

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