AVAX/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 2× UPDATED

2026-11-07 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.82 %

Entry

8.2740

Target

8.0000 +3.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

11.7300 −41.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.10 % per trade 783 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 783 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.10 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.70 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.75 % 17 % at stop avg −5.94 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,887 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

63.8 % ↓ −0.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 13 % (1.21) ▼ Bearish 87 % (7.78)

model score 86.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day
13:30November 10, 2026USDCore CPI n.s.a. m/m●●●Previous 0.4%in 1 day
13:30November 10, 2026USDCPI y/y●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 3.7%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (7 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.45
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.29
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.13
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.77
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.51
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.20
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.04
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.03

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

The 12H chart shows a strong bearish trend, with price below key moving averages (EMA 200, SMA 200) and momentum rolling over.
Multiple indicators (DX, stochastic, Williams %R) align in the same direction, increasing the reliability of the SELL signal.
All timeframes are bearish, but lower timeframes are less decisive, so expect possible choppy moves within the broader downtrend.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 11.73000 and support at 8.00000; a break below support would reinforce the bearish case.

The 12H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a strong DX Trend reading and retreats below the EMA 200, SMA 200, and MAMA midpoint. These long-term moving averages are all pointing lower, confirming that the broader trend is firmly bearish. The additional stochastic and Williams %R signals indicate that any short-term bounce is being sold into, with momentum rolling over again after a brief upswing. This confluence of trend, momentum, and moving-average alignment gives the SELL signal a high probability (80%) and strong strength rating.

Across timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent, though the lower timeframes (15m to 8h) are mostly in a 'trend forming' or 'choppy/sideways' phase, suggesting that the immediate downside may not be as smooth as the 12H trend implies. The 12H itself shows a solid trend (3/5), which is the highest conviction level among all timeframes. With nearest resistance at 11.73000 and support at 8.00000, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should watch for a potential pause or consolidation near the 8.00000 level, which could act as a major decision point.

Catalysts

▼ Strong trend score (3/5) on the 12H timeframe, indicating a well-established downtrend.
▼ Confluence of bearish signals: retreats below EMA 200, SMA 200, and MAMA midpoint all point to sustained selling pressure.
▼ Momentum indicators (STOCH KD Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry) suggest that upside attempts are being rejected.
▼ Consistent bearish alignment across all major timeframes (15m to 1d) supports the continuation of the downtrend.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (30m, 1h, 4h) are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term bounces against the 12H trend.
▲ The nearest support at 8.00000 is a major psychological level; a strong bounce there could invalidate the immediate bearish setup.
▲ If price reclaims the EMA 200 or SMA 200 (around 11.73000 resistance), the bearish thesis would weaken significantly.
▲ Momentum oscillators are in oversold territory (WILLR OS Entry), which may lead to a technical rebound before further downside.