AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend NEW CLOSED

2026-11-08 12:00 UTC 18 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −1.99 %

Entry

8.2480

Target

9.1600 +11.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.0840 −1.99 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,155 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,155 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 37,587 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 16.9 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.7 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,382 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDCore CPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.3%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI m/m●●●Forecast 0.5%Previous 0.6%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDCPI●●●Forecast 338.683Previous 336.298in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (8 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.24
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.19
▲	AO Saucer Bullish	indicator	1.18
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.15

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 4H suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
Watch the 9.16000 resistance; a break above could signal a reversal, while a drop below 8.08400 would invalidate the bullish case.
The strong signal cluster (88% probability) adds weight to the bounce, but caution is warranted due to conflicting higher timeframes.
This is likely a counter-trend move; consider managing risk tightly and watching for confirmation.

The 4H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, AO Saucer Bullish, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, and TTM TREND Trend Up. These indicators together suggest that selling pressure is exhausting and that a short-term bounce may be underway. The high probability (88%) and very strong strength reflect broad-based confirmation across multiple oscillators and trend-following tools, which increases the conviction behind the bullish setup.

However, the higher timeframes remain predominantly bearish, with the 2H and 12H showing solid downtrends and the 1H, 4H, 8H, and 1D all bearish but still forming. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate momentum is turning up, but the larger trend is still pointing lower. The nearest resistance at 9.16000 is a critical hurdle; a break above it would signal a potential trend reversal, while the nearest support at 8.08400 is the key level to watch for invalidation. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend bounce within a broader downtrend, unless price can reclaim and hold above resistance.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCHRSI, WILLR, KDJ, SMI) all fired bullish crossovers or exits, indicating strong momentum convergence.
▲ AO Saucer Bullish and TTM TREND Trend Up confirm that the short-term trend is turning positive.
▲ The ER Level Cross Down suggests that the efficiency ratio is improving, which often precedes sustained moves.
▲ The signals are firing from oversold conditions (WILLR OS Exit), which often lead to sharp reversals.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H, 12H) are in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the 4H bounce and push price lower.
▼ The nearest resistance at 9.16000 is a strong barrier; failure to break above it could lead to a reversal.
▼ If price breaks below the 8.08400 support, the bullish signal would be invalidated, and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are only mildly bullish and choppy, suggesting that momentum may not be strong enough to overcome the larger bearish trend.