AUD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.37 %

Entry

0.97246

Target

0.98006 +0.78 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.95659 −1.63 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 653 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 653 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +0.45 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.33 % 17 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 836 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 6h
13:30TomorrowCADWholesale Trade m/m●●○Forecast 0.3%Previous -1.6%in 1 day
13:30November 16, 2026CADCore CPI y/y●●●Forecast 2.1%Previous 2.2%in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.82
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.92
▲	MOM Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	ROC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	ROCR Cross Up	indicator	1.86
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.44
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.39

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum signals on the 4H chart suggest a potential short-term bounce.
Higher timeframes remain bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move unless resistance is broken.
Watch the 0.98006 resistance level; a decisive break could shift the bias.
The Stochastic KD Cross Down hints at a possible pullback, so entry timing matters.

The AUD/CAD 4H chart has triggered a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including CCI Zero Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and ROCR Cross Up, alongside a DEMA Retreat Up. These indicators collectively suggest that the recent downward momentum is stalling and that buyers are stepping in. The Stochastic KD Cross Down within this context may indicate a short-term pullback within the broader bullish setup, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up reinforces the bullish momentum. The overall signal strength is very strong, with an 86% probability, pointing to a high-confidence setup.

However, the trend structure across higher timeframes remains bearish, with solid downtrends on the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D charts. The 2H also shows a bearish bias, albeit choppy. The bullish signals on the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are still forming or choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is turning up but the larger trend has not yet reversed. The nearest resistance at 0.98006 is the key level to watch; a break above could signal a deeper correction or reversal, while failure to hold above it would keep the bearish trend intact.

Catalysts

▲ Cluster of momentum indicators (CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing above zero, confirming bullish momentum.
▲ DEMA Retreat Up indicates the price is pulling back to a dynamic support and bouncing.
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up adds to the bullish momentum confirmation.
▲ Very strong signal strength (86%) and high probability of a successful trade.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish move.
▼ The 2H timeframe is also bearish, suggesting the corrective bounce may be limited.
▼ The Stochastic KD Cross Down could signal that the bullish momentum is already waning.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.98006, the bounce could fail and resume the downtrend.