ETH/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL With the trend 1× UPDATED

2026-11-09 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +4.26 %

Entry

2,113.30

Target

1,853.62 +12.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,526.62 −19.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.06 % per trade 816 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 816 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.71 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.78 % 18 % at stop avg −5.96 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down, DEMA Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

66.1 % ↑ +28.2 vs previous candle

STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 10 % (2.16) ▼ Bearish 90 % (19.06)

model score 89.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 44m
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.26
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.19
▼	DEMA Break Down	indicator	2.16
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.11
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.27
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bearish signal cluster on the 12H chart, with 93% probability, points to continued downside.
Bearish trends across most timeframes (30m to 12h) confirm the direction, with the 2h showing the strongest trend.
Key levels: support at 1853.62 and resistance at 2526.62; watch for a break below support for further downside.
RSI oversold may trigger a short-term bounce, but the overall signal remains bearish.

The 12H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including DEMA, ALMA, and MAMA price breakdowns, Ichimoku TK cross down, and multiple HT (Hilbert Transform) phasor and sine crosses down. The RSI is in oversold territory, which can sometimes precede a bounce, but here it aligns with a very strong trend score (93% probability) and is reinforced by the KST signal cross down. This confluence across trend-following and cycle-based indicators points to persistent selling pressure rather than a short-term exhaustion move.

Across timeframes, the bearish alignment is consistent: the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h all show solid to very strong bearish trends, with the 2h being the strongest at 4/5. The 15m is the only bullish timeframe, but it is still forming with a low score (2/5), suggesting a minor countertrend bounce within a larger downtrend. The 8h and 1d are bearish but trend-forming, indicating the move may still be developing. Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 2526.62 and nearest support at 1853.62; a break below support would confirm further downside, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple breakdown signals (DEMA, ALMA, MAMA) and Ichimoku TK cross down align on the 12H chart.
▼ Consistent bearish trend scores across 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, and 12h timeframes reinforce the signal.
▼ Hilbert Transform phasor and sine cross downs indicate a cyclical shift favoring lower prices.
▼ KST signal cross down confirms momentum is turning bearish.

Risk Factors

▲ RSI is oversold, which could lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation before further downside.
▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish (trend forming), suggesting a minor countertrend move could occur.
▲ A reclaim of the nearest resistance at 2526.62 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 1d timeframe is only trend-forming (2/5), so the larger daily trend is not yet fully bearish.