ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY Counter-trend 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −2.41 %

Entry

2,113.30

Target

2,450.00 +15.93 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,062.42 −2.41 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 2,163 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,163 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.59 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.75 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.71 % 21 % at stop avg −3.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,060 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.4 % vs 31.8 % on average · stopped out 38.9 % vs 22.8 % (crypto, 2,194 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

18:00TodayUSD10-Year Note Auction●●○in 44m
13:30November 12, 2026USDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 1 day
15:00November 12, 2026USDExisting Home Sales●●○Forecast 4.04MPrevious 3.99Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 12:03 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	CMO OS Exit	indicator	1.45
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.36
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.36
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.14
▼	Below The Stomach	candlestick	1.12

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of oversold momentum signals suggests a potential short-term bounce on the 4H chart.
The broader trend across timeframes is bearish, so the bullish signal is likely counter-trend.
Watch the 2450.00 resistance as a key upside target; a break above could signal a stronger reversal.
No defined support nearby means downside risk is elevated if the bounce fails.

The 4H chart for ETH/USDT has triggered a confluence of momentum and mean-reversion signals, including BOP Zero Cross Up, CMO OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Up, ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit, and a Below The Stomach candlestick pattern. These indicate that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in, with the potential for a short-term bounce. However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bearish, with solid or very strong bearish trends on the 30m through 12h charts, and only a nascent bullish formation on the 15m. This suggests the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move rather than a reversal.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 2450.00, which could act as a ceiling for any upside. With no nearby support defined, the downside risk remains open, and a failure to hold current levels could lead to further declines. The signal's strength and high probability (75%) are tempered by the bearish higher timeframe alignment, so traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a larger downtrend, with tight risk management and a clear invalidation level.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exit signals (CMO, WILLR, ZSCORE) indicate extreme selling pressure and potential for mean reversion.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHRSI KD Cross Up show improving buying pressure and momentum.
▲ The Below The Stomach candlestick pattern adds a candlestick-based confirmation to the indicator signals.
▲ The 15m timeframe is showing early bullish trend formation, which could support the start of a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend across higher timeframes (1h, 2h, 4h, 12h) argues against sustained upside.
▼ A failure to hold above the current level could lead to a continuation of the downtrend, with no nearby support to cushion a fall.
▼ The signal may be a short-lived oversold bounce rather than a reversal; momentum could fade quickly.
▼ The nearest resistance at 2450.00 may cap gains, and a rejection there would confirm bearish pressure.