EUR/AUD – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 04:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.25 %

Entry

1.61835

Target

1.59900 +1.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62600 −0.47 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 836 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

09:00TomorrowEURECB Economic Bulletin●●○in 11h
19:30TomorrowEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 22h
00:00November 13, 2026EUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.23
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.17
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.15
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.11
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	1.37
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.19

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

12H

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on the 30M chart with ten indicators aligning lower.
Higher timeframes remain bullish, suggesting this is a pullback, not a reversal.
Watch support at 1.61741; a break below confirms further downside.
Resistance at 1.62600 is the invalidation level; a break above negates the signal.

The EUR/AUD pair on the 30-minute chart is flashing a very strong bearish signal, with a confluence of ten indicators all pointing lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down marks a shift in buying pressure to selling, while the retreats of DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, midpoint, and midprice all confirm that momentum has decisively turned south. This is reinforced by a bearish trendline break on the higher timeframe, adding weight to the short-term bearish case.

However, the broader trend structure is mixed. While the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes are also bearish, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) remain bullish, with the 8H showing a solid trend. This suggests the current bearish move is likely a pullback within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.62600 and support at 1.61741. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Ten indicators firing bearish simultaneously, including BOP, DEMA, EMA, KAMA, and MA retreats.
▼ Bearish trendline break on the higher timeframe adds confluence.
▼ Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M, 1H) align bearish, supporting the move.
▼ Very strong signal strength (94% probability) suggests high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bullish, which could cap downside or trigger a reversal.
▲ The 30M trend is choppy/sideways, indicating weak momentum despite the signal.
▲ If price reclaims 1.62600, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the pullback loses steam near support.