EUR/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 19:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.17 %

Entry

177.006

Target

176.431 +0.32 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.990 −0.56 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,506 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,506 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, SAR Flip Bearish, SMI Signal Cross Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

19:30TodayEURECB President Lagarde Speech●●●in 7h
00:00TomorrowEUREU Leaders Summit●●●in 11h
06:50TomorrowEURECB Executive Board Member Elderson Speech●●○in 18h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 11× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 11× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.43
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	1.74
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.65
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.57
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.28
▼	ADXR Trend Weak	indicator	1.10
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.00
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.98
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal has fired on the 30-minute chart, backed by multiple indicators and a trend-mode shift.
Higher timeframes (2H and above) are bearish, supporting the sell bias, but lower timeframes are still bullish—watch for confirmation.
Key levels: resistance at 177.99000, support at 176.43100. A break below support could accelerate downside.
The signal's high probability (82%) and strong strength suggest a high-conviction setup, but confirmation on lower timeframes is needed.

The 30-minute EUR/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including ADXR Trend Weak, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, SAR Flip Bearish, SMA 200 Retreat Down, and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend. This convergence indicates that downside momentum is building after a period of indecision, and the shift in trend mode suggests a potential transition from a bullish or sideways phase to a more defined bearish move. The signal's high probability and strong strength reflect the broad alignment of these indicators.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish on the higher frames. While the 15-minute through 1-hour charts are still bullish (though with weakening trend scores), the 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are all bearish, with the 2-hour showing a solid trend. This suggests that the current sell signal is likely a pullback or reversal within a larger bearish structure. The nearest resistance at 177.99000 and support at 176.43100 are the key levels to watch; a break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (ADXR, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, SAR, SMA 200, HT TRENDMODE) on the 30-minute chart.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 2H, 4H, 12H, and 1D are all bearish, with the 2H showing a solid trend.
▼ The SAR flip and SMA 200 retreat indicate a potential shift in short-term trend structure.
▼ Strong trend score (82% probability) suggests high conviction in the signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a false breakdown.
▲ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction on that horizon.
▲ If price reclaims the 177.99000 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the STOCH and KDJ crossovers fail to sustain downside pressure.