USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL Counter-trend 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 19:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.04 %

Entry

1.41217

Target

1.39427 +1.27 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.42484 −0.90 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,802 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.37 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.16 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.18 % 12 % at stop avg −0.40 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 39,429 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 10.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 628 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayCADBuilding Permits m/m●●○Forecast -5.9%Previous 8.8%in 47m
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 47m
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 47m

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.62
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.14
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.97
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.67
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.40
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.18
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.16
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.11

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term momentum has flipped bearish after a cluster of overbought exits and trend-reversal signals.
The sell signal is counter to the prevailing bullish trend on higher timeframes, so it may be a pullback rather than a reversal.
Watch nearest support at 1.39427 for confirmation; a break below could open further downside.
Resistance at 1.41376 is the immediate ceiling; a reclaim would negate the bearish signal.

The 1H USD/CAD signal is a SELL, driven by a cluster of overbought exit signals — BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit — plus trend-following indicators (ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, HMA Direction Down) and additional candlestick patterns. This suggests short-term momentum has turned bearish after a period of bullish bias across most timeframes. The higher timeframes (30m through 4h) remain bullish with solid trend scores, while the 8h to 1d are only forming trends, indicating the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a broader uptrend.

Key levels to watch are nearest resistance at 1.41376 and nearest support at 1.39427. A break below support could confirm a deeper pullback, while holding above support may see the bullish trend resume. The weak strength and 61% probability suggest limited downside conviction, so traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, STOCH, WILLR) align, suggesting exhaustion of buying pressure.
▼ Trend-following indicators (ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down) confirm short-term bearish momentum.
▼ The 15m timeframe is already bearish, providing a lower-timeframe alignment with the sell signal.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m to 4h) remain bullish with solid trend scores, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal back up.
▲ The signal strength is weak and probability only 61%, so the move may lack conviction.
▲ A break above resistance at 1.41376 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
▲ Momentum fading quickly could lead to a sideways consolidation rather than a clear decline.