USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL With the trend 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 13:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.01 %

Entry

157.927

Target

157.255 +0.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.543 −0.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,411 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,411 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 39 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.13 % 10 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 6h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 6h
15:00TodayUSDFed Vice Chair for Supervision Barr Speech●●○in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (9 Nov 2026, 13:30 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.90
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	TRIX Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.37
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish indicators fired simultaneously on the 30M chart, signaling strong selling pressure.
All timeframes show bearish bias, but higher timeframes are choppy, suggesting limited trend strength.
Key support at 157.69000 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 158.54300 is the invalidation zone.
The signal is very strong (94% probability) due to the confluence of indicators, but higher timeframe choppiness warrants caution.

The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, TRIX Zero Cross Down, WILLR OS Entry, and multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA), alongside Fibonacci and candlestick confirmations. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current price action, with momentum and trend indicators all aligned to the downside. The very strong signal strength (94% probability) reflects the breadth of indicators firing together, suggesting that the bearish move is not isolated to a single oscillator but is supported by multiple independent measures.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, though the trend is still forming on the 15m and 30m charts (2/5) and choppy/sideways on higher timeframes (1/5). This means the short-term momentum is building, but the higher timeframes lack a clear directional push, which could limit the depth of the move. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.54300 and support at 157.69000. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 14+ indicators firing bearish, including BOP, STOCH, TRIX, WILLR, and multiple moving average retreats.
▼ Uniform bearish bias across all timeframes, even if higher timeframes are choppy.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signal groups add additional confirmation to the downside move.
▼ Nearest resistance at 158.54300 is holding, providing a clear level for sellers to defend.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H and above) are choppy/sideways, which could mean the trend lacks momentum and may stall.
▲ The trend is still forming on the 30M chart (2/5), so the bearish move could be early and prone to reversal.
▲ If price reclaims the 158.54300 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and sellers should exit.
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicates oversold conditions, which could lead to a short-term bounce or consolidation.