USD/JPY – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-09 22:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.53 %

Entry

158.106

Target

158.949 +0.53 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −1.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 258 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 258 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.69 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.47 % 18 % at stop avg −0.74 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, TRIMA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 38,768 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.6 % vs 18.6 % on average · stopped out 15.6 % vs 12.4 % (forex, 836 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 6h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 6h
15:00TodayUSDExisting Home Sales m/m●●○Forecast 0.0%Previous 1.5%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (10 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.70
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.63
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.55
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	2.45
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.42
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.41
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 12H chart with multiple indicators confirming a buy signal.
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, creating a trend conflict that needs resolution.
Key resistance at 158.949 is the immediate upside target; support at 156.075 is the invalidation level.
Watch for a close above resistance to confirm a trend reversal, or a break below support to negate the signal.

The 12H USD/JPY signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 92% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up and CMO Zero Cross Up confirm buying pressure, while the RSI Midline Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up align on momentum. The MACD Signal Cross Down is a countertrend signal, but in this context it likely reflects a pullback within a larger uptrend. The EMA 50 Retreat Up and KAMA Retreat Up indicate that price is pulling back to dynamic support and resuming the upward trajectory. This confluence across candlestick and indicator groups suggests a high-quality entry point.

However, the trend across higher timeframes is not aligned. While the 15m to 1h timeframes are bullish (albeit choppy), the 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish. This creates a conflict: the signal is firing on the 12H chart, but the prevailing trend on that same timeframe is bearish. The nearest resistance at 158.949 is a critical level—if price fails to break above it, the bullish signal could be a countertrend bounce. Conversely, the nearest support at 156.075 is the invalidation zone; a break below would negate the bullish setup. Traders should watch for a decisive close above resistance to confirm the trend shift, or a loss of support to signal failure.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, CMO, RSI, STOCHF) all crossing up.
▲ EMA 50 and KAMA retreats indicate price is pulling back to dynamic support within an uptrend.
▲ Very strong signal strength (92% probability) and 'very_strong' rating increase confidence.
▲ Candlestick and indicator groups both firing, adding to the confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish (2H to 1D), which could overpower the 12H bullish signal.
▼ MACD Signal Cross Down is a bearish signal, suggesting momentum may be waning.
▼ If price fails to break above 158.949, the bullish move could stall and reverse.
▼ A break below 156.075 support would invalidate the signal and likely lead to a sharper decline.